|

USD/CAD inching towards 1.3200 handle

After a brief pause on Tuesday, the USD/CAD pair resumed with its near-term downward trajectory and dropped to seven-week low on Thursday. 

Currently trading around 1.3210 region, the lowest level since Oct. 20, the greenback's weekly corrective slide, with the overall US Dollar Index now quoting below 100.00 psychological, and is seen weighing on the pair. Moreover, the prevalent bullish sentiment surrounding oil prices is further boosting demand for the commodity-linked currency - Loonie, and exerting additional selling pressure around the major. At the time of reporting, WTI crude oil traded with gains of over 1.0% and has now regained control over the critical $50.00 psychological mark.

Meanwhile, BoC's decision to leave its monetary policy unchanged, at its meeting on Wednesday, is also seen benefitting the Canadian Dollar, while mounting expectations for an upcoming Fed rate-hike has failed to lend any support to the major. 

Traders now look forward to Canadian housing starts and building permits data, and weekly jobless claims from the US, later during NA session, for short-term trading opportunities. 

Technical levels to watch

On the immediate downside, the pair is expected to find support near 1.3200-1.3295 region (100-day SMA) below which the slide could further get extended towards the next support near 1.3150 level. On the upside, first resistance is seen near at 1.3235 (session peak) above which the pair is expected to dart towards 1.3270-80 strong horizontal resistance.
 

1 Week
Avg Forecast 1.3350
100.0%75.0%50.0%0455055606570758085909510010500.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.80.910
  • 50% Bullish
  • 25% Bearish
  • 25% Sideways
Bias Bullish
1 Month
Avg Forecast 1.3358
0.0%100.0%62.0%0-10010203040506070809010011000.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.80.910
  • 62% Bullish
  • 38% Bearish
  • 0% Sideways
Bias Bullish
1 Quarter
Avg Forecast 1.3379
100.0%87.0%62.0%0606570758085909510000.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.80.910
  • 62% Bullish
  • 25% Bearish
  • 12% Sideways
Bias Bullish

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flat lines around 1.1900; looks to US NFP report for fresh directional impetus

The EUR/USD pair is seen oscillating in a narrow trading band around the 1.1900 mark during the Asian session on Wednesday as traders opt to wait for the release of US monthly employment details before placing fresh directional bets.

GBP/USD recovers losses despite rising UK political risks, BoE rate cut bets

Pound Sterling advances against the US Dollar after registering modest losses in the previous session, trading around 1.3650 during the Asian hours on Wednesday. The pair could extend losses as the Pound Sterling faces pressure from rising political risks in the UK and growing expectations of near-term Bank of England rate cuts.

Gold awaits US Nonfarm Payrolls data for a sustained upside

Gold remains capped below $5,100 early Wednesday, gathering pace for the US labor data. The US Dollar licks its wounds amid persistent Japanese Yen strength and potential downside risks to the US jobs report. Gold holds above $5,000 amid bullish daily RSI, with eyes on 61.8% Fibo resistance at $5,141.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple show no sign of recovery

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple show signs of cautious stabilization on Wednesday after failing to close above their key resistance levels earlier this week. BTC trades below $69,000, while ETH and XRP also encountered rejection near major resistance levels. With no immediate bullish catalyst, the top three cryptocurrencies continue to show no clear signs of a sustained recovery.

Dollar drops and stocks rally: The week of reckoning for US economic data

Following a sizeable move lower in US technology Stocks last week, we have witnessed a meaningful recovery unfold. The USD Index is in a concerning position; the monthly price continues to hold the south channel support.

XRP holds $1.40 amid ETF inflows and stable derivatives market

Ripple trades under pressure, with immediate support at $1.40 holding at the time of writing on Tuesday. A recovery attempt from last week’s sell-off to $1.12 stalled at $1.54 on Friday, leading to limited price action between the current support and the resistance.