USD/CAD extends recovery to near 1.3440 as BoC’s interest rate policy comes into picture


  • USD/CAD had extended its recovery above 1.3440 amid strength in the US Dollar.
  • The overall market mood is cautious despite the improving United States-China trade relationship.
  • A continuation of a steady interest rate policy is anticipated by the BoC.

The USD/CAD pair has stretched its recovery to near 1.3440 in the early New York session. The Loonie asset rebounded firmly from near the round-level support of 1.3400 amid strength in the US Dollar Index (DXY). The USD Index has sensed marginal selling pressure after printing a fresh day high to near 104.40.

S&P500 is expected to open on a flat note considering cues from overnight performance. A volatile action is widely anticipated amid voting for a US debt-ceiling raise in Congress. The overall market mood is cautious despite the improving United States-China trade relationship. Reuters reported on Tuesday, China's Vice Foreign Minister and a senior US State Department official had a frank, constructive, and fruitful communication on promoting Sino-US relations and properly managing differences.

A solid recovery from the USD Index has supported the US Treasury yields. The yields offered on 10-year US government bonds have climbed above 3.7%.

Going forward, the interest rate decision by the Bank of Canada (BoC) will remain in focus. BoC Governor Tiff Macklem is expected to keep interest rates steady at 4.5% as Canada’s inflationary pressures are steadily decelerating. Canada’s inflation has already slowed to 4.4% from its recent high of 8.1%. Therefore, the BoC has the luxury of keeping interest rates steady.

On the oil front, oil prices have found intermediate support near $70.00 after a vertical sell-off. More downside in the oil price seems solid as global central banks are preparing for a fresh interest rate hike cycle. It is worth noting that Canada is the leading exporter of oil to the United States and a rebound in the oil price might support the Canadian Dollar.

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price 1.345
Today Daily Change 0.0005
Today Daily Change % 0.04
Today daily open 1.3445
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1.3508
Daily SMA50 1.3502
Daily SMA100 1.3518
Daily SMA200 1.3509
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1.3462
Previous Daily Low 1.3418
Previous Weekly High 1.3651
Previous Weekly Low 1.3407
Previous Monthly High 1.3655
Previous Monthly Low 1.3315
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.3445
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.3434
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.3421
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.3397
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.3377
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.3465
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.3486
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.351

 

 

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