|

USD/CAD continues to fluctuate in tight range below 1.3200

  • USD/CAD is struggling to find direction on Monday.
  • US Dollar Index dropped below 93.00 as Wall Street rallies.
  • WTI pared early losses and turned flat above $37 in early American session.

The USD/CAD pair rose toward 1.3200 during the European trading hours on falling crude oil prices but reversed its direction and turned flat on the day near 1.3170.

Earlier in the day, the OPEC in its monthly report noted that the world oil demand in 2020 was expected to decline by 9.46 million barrels per day (bpd), compared to 9.06 million bpd in the previous report. Pressured by this report, the barrel of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) slumped to a daily low of $36.80 and weighed on the commodity-related loonie.

However, the upbeat market mood, as reflected by sharp upsurge witnessed in Wall Street's main indexes, helped crude oil stage a rebound. At the moment, the S&P 500 Index is up 1.7% on the day and the WTI is flat near $37.30.

On the other hand, the greenback is struggling to attract investors as a safe-haven in the risk-on market environment. The US Dollar Index is down 0.32% on the day at 92.96. 

USD/CAD outlook

OCBC Bank analyst Terence Wu thinks that USD/CAD is likely to trade in the 1.3100-1.3250 range in the near term.

"Soft crude and commodity complex should continue to keep the USD/CAD buoyant for now, although the soggy USD will put a lid on any significant attempts to lift-off," Wu said. “Suspect that there is not much official appreciation for a lower USD/CAD at this point.” 

Key technical levels to watch for

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.3169
Today Daily Change-0.0009
Today Daily Change %-0.07
Today daily open1.3178
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3146
Daily SMA501.3317
Daily SMA1001.3539
Daily SMA2001.3521
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3208
Previous Daily Low1.3151
Previous Weekly High1.326
Previous Weekly Low1.3053
Previous Monthly High1.3451
Previous Monthly Low1.302
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3173
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3186
Daily Pivot Point S11.315
Daily Pivot Point S21.3122
Daily Pivot Point S31.3094
Daily Pivot Point R11.3207
Daily Pivot Point R21.3236
Daily Pivot Point R31.3264

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds losses near 1.1850 as US, China holidays keep trade muted

EUR/USD opens the week on a softer note, trading near 1.1860 during the Asian session on Monday. Activity is likely to remain muted, with United States markets closed for the Presidents’ Day holiday, while Mainland China is also shut for the week-long Lunar New Year break.

GBP/USD remains well bid around 1.3650

GBP/USD maintains its upside momentum in place, hovering around daily highs near 1.3650 and setting aside part of the recent three-day drop. Cable’s improved sentiment comes on the back of the Greenback’s  irresolute price action, while recent hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill also collaborate with the uptick.

Gold remains below $5,050 despite Fed rate cut bets, uncertain geopolitical tensions

Gold edges lower after registering over 2% gains in the previous session, trading around $5,030 per troy ounce during the Asian hours on Monday. However, the non-interest-bearing Gold could further gain ground following softer January Consumer Price Index figures, which reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve could cut rates later this year.

Week ahead: Data blitz, Fed Minutes and RBNZ decision in the spotlight

The US jobs report for January, which was delayed slightly, didn’t do the dovish Fed bets any favours, as expectations of a soft print did not materialize, confounding the raft of weak job indicators seen in the prior week.

Global inflation watch: Signs of cooling services inflation

Realized inflation landed close to expectations in January, as negative base effects weighed on the annual rates. Remaining sticky inflation is largely explained by services, while tariff-driven goods inflation remains limited even in the US.

Ripple Price Forecast: XRP potential bottom could be in sight

Ripple edges up above the intraday low of $1.35 at the time of writing on Friday amid mixed price actions across the crypto market. The remittance token failed to hold support at $1.40 the previous day, reflecting risk-off sentiment amid a decline in retail and institutional sentiment.