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USD/CAD consolidates in a range below 1.2400 mark

  • USD/CAD remained confined in a range through the first half of the trading action on Tuesday.
  • Retreating oil prices undermined the loonie and extended some support amid stronger USD.
  • The fundamental backdrop supports prospects for an extension of the recent recovery move.

The USD/CAD pair lacked any firm directional bias on Tuesday and oscillated in a narrow trading band, below the 1.2400 mark through the early European session.

The pair, so far, has struggled to capitalize its recent bounce from four-month lows touched last week and remained capped near the 1.2400 mark, though a combination of factors acted as a tailwind. A modest pullback in crude oil prices from multi-year tops undermined the commodity-linked loonie. This, along with a pickup in the demand for the US dollar, extended some support to the USD/CAD pair.

The USD drew some support from the emergence of heavy selling around the shared currency. This comes amid expectations for an early policy tightening by the Fed, which further assisted the buck to build on the overnight rebound from one-month lows. The Fed Chair Jerome Powell reiterated on Friday that the US central bank remains on track to begin rolling back its massive pandemic-era stimulus.

Moreover, the recent widespread rally in commodity prices has been fueling speculations about a potential interest rate hike in 2022. Investors now seem convinced that the Fed would be forced to adopt a more aggressive policy response to contain stubbornly high inflation. Nevertheless, the fundamental backdrop favours bulls and supports prospects for some meaningful appreciating move for the USD/CAD pair.

Market participants now look forward to the US economic docket – featuring the releases of the Conference Board’s Confidence Index, Richmond Manufacturing Index and New Home Sales. This, along with the US bond yields and the broader market risk sentiment, might influence the USD. Traders will further take cues from oil price dynamics for some short-term impetus around the USD/CAD pair.

Technical levels to watch

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.2385
Today Daily Change0.0002
Today Daily Change %0.02
Today daily open1.2383
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2493
Daily SMA501.2597
Daily SMA1001.2518
Daily SMA2001.2496
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.24
Previous Daily Low1.2338
Previous Weekly High1.241
Previous Weekly Low1.2288
Previous Monthly High1.2896
Previous Monthly Low1.2494
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2377
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2362
Daily Pivot Point S11.2348
Daily Pivot Point S21.2312
Daily Pivot Point S31.2286
Daily Pivot Point R11.2409
Daily Pivot Point R21.2436
Daily Pivot Point R31.2471

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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