|

USD/CAD bounces back strongly to near 1.3500 after US/Canada Employment release

  • USD/CAD rebounds strongly to near 1.3500 as the US Dollar reverses losses after the release of the US NFP data for August.
  • Fewer-than-expected US job growth boosts expectations of Fed interest rate cuts this month.
  • Canadian jobless rate rises further to 6.6%.

The USD/CAD pair recovers swiftly to near the round-level support of 1.3500 in Friday’s American session. The Loonie asset turns volatile after the release of the United States/Canada Employment data for June.

The US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report showed that labor demand turned out weaker-than-expected. Number of workers hired were 142K, lower than the estimates of 16K but higher than the prior release of 89K, downwardly revised from 114K. The Unemployment Rate fell to 4.2%, as expected from the prior release of 4.3%.

Meanwhile, Average Hourly Earnings accelerated at a faster-than-expected pace. Annually, the wage growth momentum rises to 3.8% from the estimates of 3.7% and the prior release of 3.6%. This has renewed fears of price pressures remaining persistent. However, it is unlikely to influence market speculation for Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate path as the central bank is more focused towards preventing job losses.

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback’s value against six major currencies, recovers its intraday losses and rises to near 101.20.

In Canada, the labor market witnessed fresh addition of 22.1K job-seekers. The labor growth was slower than expected as market participants estimated fresh hiring of 25K workers. In July, Canada’s labor market data faced an unexpected drawdown as 1.4K employees were laid-off. Meanwhile, the Unemployment Rate rose further to 6.6%, higher than the estimates of 6.5% and the prior release of 6.4%.

Average Hourly Earnings decelerated sharply to 4.9% from the former reading of 5.2%. Rising jobless rate and easing wage growth momentum would prompt expectations of more interest rate cuts by the Bank of Canada (BoC).

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD retreats toward 1.1700 on modest USD recovery

EUR/USD stays under mild bearish pressure and trades below 1.1750 on Friday. Although trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, the modest recovery seen in the US Dollar causes the pair to edge lower. The economic calendar will not feature any high-impact data releases.

GBP/USD struggles to gain traction, stabilizes near 1.3450

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades marginally lower on the day at around 1.3450 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold climbs toward $4,400 following deep correction

Gold advances toward $4,400 and gains more than 1.5% on the day after suffering heavy losses amid profit-taking heading into the end of the year. Growing expectations for a dovish Fed policy and persistent geopolitical risks seem to be helping XAU/USD stretch higher.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).