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USD/CAD advances towards 1.2650 on subdued oil prices, US CPI eyed

  • USD/CAD is sustaining comfortably above 1.2600 amid falling oil prices.
  • Additional oil supply at 1.3 million bpd will offset the supply cut by Russia after sanctions on Moscow.
  • This week BOC ‘s interest rate decision and the US CPI will be the main events to keep on the radar.

The USD/CAD pair managed to establish above 1.2600 on Monday after multiple failed attempts last week. The asset is advancing sharply towards 1.2650 as subdued oil prices have dented the optimism of the loonie. The major has extended its gains on Tuesday after overstepping Monday’s high at 1.2641.

Oil prices have tumbled around 3% on Monday amid a push of 240 million barrels of oil supply through the collective effort of the US administration and the International Economic Agency (IEA) in the next six months. The market participants will figure out the extent to which the additional oil will offset the prohibited Russian oil after sanctions on the latter.

The release of Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) volumes is equivalent to 1.3 million barrels per day (bpd) over the next six months, which is enough to offset a shortfall of 1 million bpd of Russian oil supply, analysts at JP Morgan said.

Meanwhile, the lockdown curbs in China to contain the Covid-19 have restricted the movement of men, materials, and machines. This has dampened the demand of oil in a country, which carries the tag of the biggest importer of oil.

Canada, being the largest exporter of oil to the US is facing the heat of lesser cash flows amid falling crude prices.

Going forward, investors will focus on the US Consumer Price Index (CPI), which is due on Tuesday. The US inflation is likely to print a fresh multi-decade high at 8.5%. Apart from that, the Bank of Canada (BOC) will dictate its interest rate decision on Wednesday. The BOC is expected to push its interest rates by 50 basis points.

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.2652
Today Daily Change0.0020
Today Daily Change %0.16
Today daily open1.2632
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2561
Daily SMA501.2665
Daily SMA1001.269
Daily SMA2001.2624
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2641
Previous Daily Low1.2566
Previous Weekly High1.2619
Previous Weekly Low1.2403
Previous Monthly High1.2901
Previous Monthly Low1.243
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2612
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2595
Daily Pivot Point S11.2585
Daily Pivot Point S21.2539
Daily Pivot Point S31.2511
Daily Pivot Point R11.266
Daily Pivot Point R21.2688
Daily Pivot Point R31.2734

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

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