|

US: UoM Consumer Confidence Index worsens more than expected to 57.7 in May

  • Long-run inflation expectations rose to their highest reading since 2011.
  • US Dollar loses momentum, but remains in positive ground for the day.

Consumer sentiment in the US deteriorated in early May with the University of Michigan's (UoM) Consumer Confidence Index falling to 57.7 (preliminary) from 63.5 in April. This reading came in below the market expectation of 63.

“Consumer sentiment tumbled 9% amid renewed concerns about the trajectory of the economy, erasing over half of the gains achieved after the all-time historic low from last June,” the UoM noted in its report.  “While current incoming macroeconomic data show no sign of recession, consumers’ worries about the economy escalated in May alongside the proliferation of negative news about the economy, including the debt crisis standoff.”

Inflation expectations for one year dropped from 4.6% to 4.5% in May. On the contrary, 5-year inflation expectations rose from 3.0% to 3.2%, the highest reading since 2011.

Market reaction

The US Dollar pulled back across the board after the report but remained in positive territory for the day. The DXY was up by 0.15%, trading at one-week highs.

Author

Matías Salord

Matías started in financial markets in 2008, after graduating in Economics. He was trained in chart analysis and then became an educator. He also studied Journalism. He started writing analyses for specialized websites before joining FXStreet.

More from Matías Salord
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7000; remains close to monthly top

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7000 during the Asian session on Friday, trading just below the previous day's monthly low amid diverging forces. A hawkish RBA continues to support the Aussie, while the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near a three-week low. However, oil-driven inflation fears reinforce Fed hike bets, which, along with geopolitical risks, could benefit the safe-haven buck and cap the currency pair.

USD/JPY bounces off one-month low; climbs to 157.00 amid reviving USD demand

USD/JPY rebounds from the 156.00 neighborhood, or a one-month low touched during Friday’s Asian session, with bulls looking to extend momentum beyond 157.00 amid the emergence of some US Dollar buying. Meanwhile, Japan's National CPI rose to a nine-month peak and reaffirmed BoJ rate-hike bets, which could support the Japanese Yen and cap gains for the currency pair.

Gold hits fresh three-month low below $4,000 amid surging energy prices

Gold slides to a fresh three-month low at $3,986.74 in the Asian trade on Friday. The precious metal faces intense selling pressure, following a consolidation breakdown that took place on the range between $4,227.90 and $4,066.64 in the past three weeks.


Cardano: Whale selling deepens correction
Cardano (ADA) edges higher by nearly 2% on Friday, following a roughly 6% decline the previous day. The pullback aligns with the sell-side appeal among large-wallet investors, commonly referred to as whales, and Cardano derivatives. The technical outlook for ADA is bearish, with downside momentum persisting. Whales are losing their appetite for holding ADA tokens, fueling near-term selling pressure.
The Bank of England just got its clearest reason to hike. Here's what it's really watching

UK inflation as measured by the CPI accelerated to 3.5% YoY in September, up from 3.1% in August, according to the Office for National Statistics. This is the highest level since October 2025, exceeding economists' expectations of 3.4% and pushing inflation further from the BoE's 2% target.

What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.