|

US real GDP grows 1.3% in first quarter vs. 1.6% in first estimate

  • The BEA revised Q1 US GDP growth lower to 1.3%.
  • US Dollar Index stays in negative territory below 105.00.

The US' real Gross Domestic Product expanded at an annual rate of 1.3% in the first quarter, the US Bureau of Economic Analysis' (BEA) second estimate on Thursday. This reading followed the 1.6% growth recorded in the first estimate and came in line with the market expectation.

"With the second estimate, downward revisions to consumer spending, private inventory investment, and federal government spending were partly offset by upward revisions to state and local government spending, nonresidential fixed investment, residential fixed investment, and exports," the BEA explained. "Imports were revised up."

Economic Indicator

Gross Domestic Product Annualized

The real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Annualized, released quarterly by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis, measures the value of the final goods and services produced in the United States in a given period of time. Changes in GDP are the most popular indicator of the nation’s overall economic health. The data is expressed at an annualized rate, which means that the rate has been adjusted to reflect the amount GDP would have changed over a year’s time, had it continued to grow at that specific rate. Generally speaking, a high reading is seen as bullish for the US Dollar (USD), while a low reading is seen as bearish.

Read more.

Next release: Thu Jun 27, 2024 12:30

Frequency: Quarterly

Consensus: -

Previous: 1.3%

Source: US Bureau of Economic Analysis

The US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) releases the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth on an annualized basis for each quarter. After publishing the first estimate, the BEA revises the data two more times, with the third release representing the final reading. Usually, the first estimate is the main market mover and a positive surprise is seen as a USD-positive development while a disappointing print is likely to weigh on the greenback. Market participants usually dismiss the second and third releases as they are generally not significant enough to meaningfully alter the growth picture.

Market reaction to US GDP revision

The US Dollar (USD) came under bearish pressure with the immediate reaction. At the time of press, the USD Index was down 0.3% on the day at 104.80.

US Dollar PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies today. US Dollar was the weakest against the Swiss Franc.

 USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD -0.27%-0.19%-0.67%-0.15%-0.33%-0.03%-0.88%
EUR0.27% 0.08%-0.37%0.12%-0.07%0.22%-0.62%
GBP0.19%-0.08% -0.46%0.03%-0.15%0.15%-0.68%
JPY0.67%0.37%0.46% 0.49%0.31%0.56%-0.23%
CAD0.15%-0.12%-0.03%-0.49% -0.18%0.11%-0.73%
AUD0.33%0.07%0.15%-0.31%0.18% 0.28%-0.55%
NZD0.03%-0.22%-0.15%-0.56%-0.11%-0.28% -0.83%
CHF0.88%0.62%0.68%0.23%0.73%0.55%0.83% 

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the US Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent USD (base)/JPY (quote).

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD stays weak near 1.1850 after dismal German ZEW data

EUR/USD remains in the red near 1.1850 in the European session on Tuesday. A broad US Dollar bullish consolidation combined with a softer risk tone keep the pair undermined alongside downbeat German ZEW sentiment readings for February. 

GBP/USD holds losees near 1.3600 after weak UK jobs report

GBP/USD is holding moderate losses near the 1.3600 level in Tuesday's European trading. The United Kingdom employment data suggested worsening labor market conditions, bolstering bets for a BoE interest rate cut next month. This narrative keeps the Pound Sterling under bearish pressure. 

Gold pares intraday losses; keeps the red above $4,900 amid receding safe-haven demand

Gold (XAU/USD) attracts some follow-through selling for the second straight day and dives to over a one-week low, around the $4,858 area, heading into the European session on Tuesday. 

Canada CPI expected to show sticky inflation in January, still above BoC’s target

Economists see the headline CPI rising by 2.4% in a year to January, still above the BoC’s target and matching December’s increase. On a monthly basis, prices are expected to rise by 0.1%.

UK jobs market weakens, bolstering rate cut hopes

In the UK, the latest jobs report made for difficult reading. Nonetheless, this represents yet another reminder for the Bank of England that they need to act swiftly given the collapse in inflation expected over the coming months. 

Stellar mixed sentiment caps recovery

Stellar price remains under pressure, trading at $0.170 on Tuesday after failing to close above the key resistance on Sunday. The derivatives metric supports the bearish sentiment, with XLM’s short bets rising among traders and funding rates turning negative.