|

US real GDP grows 1.3% in first quarter vs. 1.6% in first estimate

  • The BEA revised Q1 US GDP growth lower to 1.3%.
  • US Dollar Index stays in negative territory below 105.00.

The US' real Gross Domestic Product expanded at an annual rate of 1.3% in the first quarter, the US Bureau of Economic Analysis' (BEA) second estimate on Thursday. This reading followed the 1.6% growth recorded in the first estimate and came in line with the market expectation.

"With the second estimate, downward revisions to consumer spending, private inventory investment, and federal government spending were partly offset by upward revisions to state and local government spending, nonresidential fixed investment, residential fixed investment, and exports," the BEA explained. "Imports were revised up."

Economic Indicator

Gross Domestic Product Annualized

The real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Annualized, released quarterly by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis, measures the value of the final goods and services produced in the United States in a given period of time. Changes in GDP are the most popular indicator of the nation’s overall economic health. The data is expressed at an annualized rate, which means that the rate has been adjusted to reflect the amount GDP would have changed over a year’s time, had it continued to grow at that specific rate. Generally speaking, a high reading is seen as bullish for the US Dollar (USD), while a low reading is seen as bearish.

Read more.

Next release: Thu Jun 27, 2024 12:30

Frequency: Quarterly

Consensus: -

Previous: 1.3%

Source: US Bureau of Economic Analysis

The US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) releases the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth on an annualized basis for each quarter. After publishing the first estimate, the BEA revises the data two more times, with the third release representing the final reading. Usually, the first estimate is the main market mover and a positive surprise is seen as a USD-positive development while a disappointing print is likely to weigh on the greenback. Market participants usually dismiss the second and third releases as they are generally not significant enough to meaningfully alter the growth picture.

Market reaction to US GDP revision

The US Dollar (USD) came under bearish pressure with the immediate reaction. At the time of press, the USD Index was down 0.3% on the day at 104.80.

US Dollar PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies today. US Dollar was the weakest against the Swiss Franc.

 USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD -0.27%-0.19%-0.67%-0.15%-0.33%-0.03%-0.88%
EUR0.27% 0.08%-0.37%0.12%-0.07%0.22%-0.62%
GBP0.19%-0.08% -0.46%0.03%-0.15%0.15%-0.68%
JPY0.67%0.37%0.46% 0.49%0.31%0.56%-0.23%
CAD0.15%-0.12%-0.03%-0.49% -0.18%0.11%-0.73%
AUD0.33%0.07%0.15%-0.31%0.18% 0.28%-0.55%
NZD0.03%-0.22%-0.15%-0.56%-0.11%-0.28% -0.83%
CHF0.88%0.62%0.68%0.23%0.73%0.55%0.83% 

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the US Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent USD (base)/JPY (quote).

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD trims losses and returns to the 1.1750 area

The US Dollar resumed its decline in the American afternoon, helping EUR/USD trim early losses. The pair trades around 1.1750 as market participants gear up for the European Central Bank monetary policy decision and the United States Consumer Price Index.

GBP/USD consolidates above mid-1.3300s as traders await BoE and US CPI report

The GBP/USD pair struggles to capitalize on the overnight bounce from the 1.3310 area, or a one-week low, and oscillates in a narrow band during the Asian session on Thursday. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.3370 region, down less than 0.10% for the day, as traders opt to wait on the sidelines ahead of the key central bank event risk and US consumer inflation data.

Gold declines on profit-taking, USD strength ahead of US CPI release

Gold price edges lower below $4,350 during the Asian trading hours on Thursday. The precious metal retreats from seven-week highs amid some profit-taking and a rebound in the US Dollar (USD). The potential downside for the yellow metal might be limited after the recent US jobs data reinforce market expectations of further interest rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve and drag the USD lower. 

Bitcoin, Ethereum whipsaw, sparks heavy liquidations amid accusations of market manipulation

The crypto market whipsawed on Wednesday as top cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH), quickly reversed gains from the early American session.

Monetary policy: Three central banks, three decisions, the same caution

While the Fed eased its monetary policy on 10 December for the third consecutive FOMC meeting, without making any guarantees about future action, the BoE, the ECB and the BoJ are holding their respective meetings this week. 

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP slide further as risk-off sentiment deepens

Bitcoin faces extended pressure as institutional investors reduce their risk exposure. Ethereum’s upside capped at $3,000, weighed down by ETF outflows and bearish signals. XRP slides toward November’s support at $1.82 despite mild ETF inflows.