|

US Govt's tougher stance on Venezuela has yet to affect Oil production – Commerzbank

The US closure of Venezuelan airspace over the weekend has escalated tensions, but Oil production remains largely unaffected. November Oil exports from Venezuela rose to 590,000 barrels per day, offsetting concerns over US pressure on President Maduro, Commerzbank's commodity analyst Barbara Lambrecht notes.

Oil prices largely unmoved by Venezuela-US dispute

"Uncertainty was also caused over the weekend by reports that the US government had closed the airspace over Venezuela. Tensions between the US and Venezuela had already escalated in the weeks prior to this. Trump is increasing pressure on Venezuelan President Maduro, with the measures intended to combat drug trafficking."

"So far, this have had little effect on Oil production: in October, at 950,000 barrels per day, it was only 50,000 barrels below the 5½-year high in September. New export data from the analysis firm Kpler also shows that the increased US presence in the Caribbean probably had no impact on export activity in November: at 590,000 barrels per day, exports were around 160,000 barrels higher than in October."

"It is therefore not surprising that the tensions have not had a significant impact on Oil prices so far."

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD bounces off lows, back above 1.3200

After bottoming out near 1.3160, GBP/USD manages to regain a bit of shine and reclaim the 1.3200 mark and beyond at the end of the week. Stronger-than-expected UK Retail Sales data seem to be helping the British Pound limit its losses, while the chaotic UK political environment keeps the bulls at bay for now.

EUR/USD looks consolidative around 1.1460

EUR/USD stages a modest rebound after slipping to a three-month low below 1.1420 at the end of the week. That said, the pair now looks to consolidate humble gains just above 1.1460 despite growing uncertainty surrounding the next round of US-Iran negotiations, which keeps the US Dollar’s downside contained.

Gold slips back to six-day lows, targets $4,100

Gold retreats for the third consecutive day on Friday, eroding gains seen in the first half of the week and approaching the key $4,100 mark per troy ounce. Indeed, the precious metal continues to face headwinds from the Fed's hawkish stance and renewed uncertainty surrounding the next round of US-Iran negotiations.

Breaking: Iran closes the Strait of Hormuz amid ceasefire deal violation
Iran says it is closing the Strait of Hormuz after accusing the United States (US) and Israel of violating the ceasefire. According to Iran, the decision came over the continued Israeli strikes in Lebanon. The Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy issued a warning to all vessels: "Do not approach the Strait of Hormuz; otherwise, your security will be jeopardized."
The Iran war didn't break the US economy, but what happens next?

Nearly four months after the start of the Iran war, the US economy remains remarkably resilient. While the conflict initially triggered a severe disruption to global energy markets and a sharp rise in Oil prices, recent diplomatic progress between Washington and Tehran has eased concerns about a prolonged supply shock.

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.