|

US Dollar losing the grip, still above 95.00

  • The index manages to keep business above the 95.00 handle.
  • US 10-year yields depressed around daily lows in 2.83%.
  • US Q1 GDP figures came in below expectations at 2.0%.

The greenback, in terms of the US Dollar Index (DXY), remains on the defensive on Thursday although still manages to keep the trade above the key 95.00 milestone.

US Dollar offered post-data

The index comes down to the 95.15/10 band, or fresh daily lows, after the third revision of US GDP figures for the January-March period disappointed estimates, showing the economy is now seeing expanding at an annualized 2.0% (vs. 2.2% forecasted).

Further US data noted Initial Claims rose at a weekly 227K, a tad below consensus and taking the 4-week Average to 222.00K from 221.00K.

The greenback faded the initial up move to fresh 2018 peaks beyond 95.50 in response to a pick up in the risk-off sentiment, motivating yields of the US 10-year reference to drop to fresh lows in the 2.83% neighbourhood.

Looking ahead, the EU Summit should gather all the attention among market participants, with migration expected to be in centre stage.

US Dollar relevant levels

As of writing the index is losing 0.020% at 95.14 and a breakdown of 94.86 (10-day sma) would expose 94.34 (21-day sma) and finally 94.17 (low Jun.26). On the flip side, the next hurdle emerges at 95.53 (2018 high Jun.28) followed by 96.00 (psychological level) and then 96.51 (high Jul.4 2017).

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD tests nine-day EMA support near 1.1750

EUR/USD loses ground for the fourth consecutive session, trading around 1.1760 during the Asian hours on Monday. On the daily chart, technical analysis indicates a weakening bullish bias, as the pair tests to break below the lower boundary of the ascending channel pattern.

GBP/USD softens below 1.3500 but retains positive technical outlook

The GBP/USD pair loses momentum near 1.3485 during the early European session on Monday, pressured by renewed US Dollar demand. The potential downside for a major pair might be limited, as the Bank of England guided that monetary policy will remain on a gradual downward path.

Gold pulls back from record high as profit-taking sets in

Gold price retreats from a record high near $4,550 during the early European trading hours on Monday as traders book some profits ahead of holidays. A renewed US Dollar could also weigh on the precious metal, as it makes Gold more expensive for non-US buyers, pressuring prices.

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP bulls regain strength

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple record roughly 3% gains on Monday, regaining strength mid-holiday season. Despite thin liquidity in the holiday season, BTC and major altcoins are regaining strength as US President Donald Trump pushes peace talks between Russia and Ukraine. The technical outlook for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple gradually shifts bullish as selling pressure wanes.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.