|

US Dollar losing the grip, still above 95.00

  • The index manages to keep business above the 95.00 handle.
  • US 10-year yields depressed around daily lows in 2.83%.
  • US Q1 GDP figures came in below expectations at 2.0%.

The greenback, in terms of the US Dollar Index (DXY), remains on the defensive on Thursday although still manages to keep the trade above the key 95.00 milestone.

US Dollar offered post-data

The index comes down to the 95.15/10 band, or fresh daily lows, after the third revision of US GDP figures for the January-March period disappointed estimates, showing the economy is now seeing expanding at an annualized 2.0% (vs. 2.2% forecasted).

Further US data noted Initial Claims rose at a weekly 227K, a tad below consensus and taking the 4-week Average to 222.00K from 221.00K.

The greenback faded the initial up move to fresh 2018 peaks beyond 95.50 in response to a pick up in the risk-off sentiment, motivating yields of the US 10-year reference to drop to fresh lows in the 2.83% neighbourhood.

Looking ahead, the EU Summit should gather all the attention among market participants, with migration expected to be in centre stage.

US Dollar relevant levels

As of writing the index is losing 0.020% at 95.14 and a breakdown of 94.86 (10-day sma) would expose 94.34 (21-day sma) and finally 94.17 (low Jun.26). On the flip side, the next hurdle emerges at 95.53 (2018 high Jun.28) followed by 96.00 (psychological level) and then 96.51 (high Jul.4 2017).

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD tests 1.1800, closes in on a fresh two-month high

EUR/USD extends its gains for the second consecutive day on Tuesday and trades near 1.1800. The broad-based US Dollar weakness and a potential policy divergence between the European Central Bank and the Federal Reserve keep the bullish bias intact heading into the holiday season.

GBP/USD climbs above 1.3500 area, renews 11-week peak

GBP/USD extends its weekly rally and trades at its highest level since early October above 1.3500. The US Dollar remains under persistent bearish pressure heading into the Christmas break, while Pound traders largely brush off the latest interest rate cut from the Bank of England.

Gold approaches $4,500 as record-setting rally continues

Gold builds on Monday's impressive gains and advances toward $4,500, setting fresh record-highs along the way. Heightened geopolitical tensions, combined with the ongoing US Dollar (USD) selloff ahead of the Q3 GDP data, help XAU/USD preserve its bullish momentum.

US GDP expected to highlight steady growth in Q3

The United States Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) will publish the first preliminary estimate of the third-quarter Gross Domestic Product on Tuesday, at 13:30 GMT. Analysts expect the data to show annualized growth of 3.2%, following the 3.8% expansion in the previous quarter.

Ten questions that matter going into 2026

2026 may be less about a neat “base case” and more about a regime shift—the market can reprice what matters most (growth, inflation, fiscal, geopolitics, concentration). The biggest trap is false comfort: the same trades can look defensive… right up until they become crowded.

XRP steadies above $1.90 support as fund inflows and retail demand rise

Ripple (XRP) is stable above support at $1.90 at the time of writing on Monday, after several attempts to break above the $2.00 hurdle failed to materialize last week. Meanwhile, institutional interest in the cross-border remittance token has remained steady.