|

US Dollar Index slips near 98.40 on expected interest rate hike by the Fed

  • The DXY pauses around 98.40 posts in-line interest rate decision by the Fed.
  • Seven interest rate hikes are announced for 2022 to contain the inflation mess.
  • The monetary policies of BOJ and BOE will be keenly watched this week.

The US dollar index (DXY) has witnessed some long liquidation after the Federal Reserve (Fed) announced an interest rate hike by 25 basis points (bps) to curtail the soaring inflation. The decision was in-line with the estimates, which brought a temporary pause in a firmer rally by the DXY.

Fed's interest rate bulletin

A rate hike of 25 bps received a green flag from seven out of eight monetary policy committee (MPC) members as St. Louis Fed President Jim Bullard was in favor of a 50 bps rate hike this time. It is worth noting that the Fed has increased its interest rates after a span of three years. Although a 25 bps hike interest rate decision was in-line with the estimates, the announcement of seven hikes in 2022 has surprised the market. The aggressive tightening bulletin claims that the inflation mess is much worse than the estimated, which is why the Fed is looking to elevate the interest rates quickly.

US Retail Sales

The underperformance of US Retail Sales for February month has mounted concerns over the US economy going forward. The US Census Bureau reported February Retail Sales at 0.3% lower than the market consensus of 0.4% and much lower than the previous figure of 4.9%.

Major events this week: Building Permits, Housing Starts, Initial Jobless Claims, Industrial Production, and Existing Home Sales.

Eminent issues on the back boiler: Russia-Ukraine peace talks, monetary policy from Bank of England (BOE) and Bank of Japan (BOJ), Federal Reserve Bank Gov. Michelle Bowman speech.

Dollar Index Spot

Overview
Today last price98.37
Today Daily Change-0.62
Today Daily Change %-0.63
Today daily open98.99
 
Trends
Daily SMA2097.48
Daily SMA5096.51
Daily SMA10096.08
Daily SMA20094.43
 
Levels
Previous Daily High99.2
Previous Daily Low98.63
Previous Weekly High99.41
Previous Weekly Low97.72
Previous Monthly High97.74
Previous Monthly Low95.14
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%98.85
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%98.98
Daily Pivot Point S198.68
Daily Pivot Point S298.38
Daily Pivot Point S398.12
Daily Pivot Point R199.25
Daily Pivot Point R299.5
Daily Pivot Point R399.81

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold retreats to $4,300 area, looks to post monthly gains

Gold stays on the back foot on the last day of 2025 and trades near $4,300, possibly pressured by profit-taking and position adjustments. Nevertheless, XAU/USD remains on track to post gains for December and extend its winning streak into a fifth consecutive month.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).