|

US Dollar Index Price Analysis: Symmetrical Triangle awaits US inflation release for an explosion

  • The US Dollar Index has dropped to near day’s low around 104.90.
  • Volatility in the US Dollar Index has contracted ahead of the US Inflation release.
  • The 200-EMA at 105.20 is acting as a major barricade for the USD Index.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) is displaying wild moves as investors are dwindling ahead of the release of the United States Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. Anxiety ahead of the release of the US inflation is restricting investors from making decisive moves in the early European session. The USD Index has sensed selling pressure while attempting to cross the critical resistance of 105.10.

The asset has dropped to near day’s low below 105.00. Meanwhile, S&P500 futures have recovered after a marginal sell-off in the Tokyo session. It seems that the risk-appetite theme is regaining traction.

On an hourly scale, the USD Index is auctioning in a symmetrical triangle chart pattern that indicates volatility contraction. The upward-sloping trendline of the chart pattern is plotted from December 9 low at 104.48 while the downward-sloping trendline is placed from December 8 high at 105.43.

The 200-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 105.20 is acting as a major barricade for the asset. Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) is oscillating in a 40.00-60.00 range, which indicates a consolidation ahead.

 Should the USD Index break below December 12 low at 104.66, bears will drag the asset toward December 5 low at 104.12, followed by June 16 low at 103.42.

Alternatively, a decisive move above December 12 high at 105.20 will result in a symmetrical triangle breakout, which will send the USD Index toward December 8 high at 105.43. A break above the latter will drive the asset toward December 7 high at 105.77.

US Dollar Index hourly chart

Dollar Index Spot

Overview
Today last price104.89
Today Daily Change-0.12
Today Daily Change %-0.11
Today daily open105.01
 
Trends
Daily SMA20105.44
Daily SMA50107.77
Daily SMA100109.11
Daily SMA200106.35
 
Levels
Previous Daily High105.25
Previous Daily Low104.66
Previous Weekly High105.82
Previous Weekly Low104.11
Previous Monthly High113.15
Previous Monthly Low105.32
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%105.03
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%104.89
Daily Pivot Point S1104.69
Daily Pivot Point S2104.38
Daily Pivot Point S3104.1
Daily Pivot Point R1105.29
Daily Pivot Point R2105.57
Daily Pivot Point R3105.88

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds losses below 1.1850 ahead of FOMC Minutes

EUR/USD stays on the back foot below 1.1850 in the European session on Wednesday, pressured by renewed US Dollar demand and reports that ECB President Lagarde will step down before the end of her term. Traders now look forward to the Minutes of the Fed's January monetary policy meeting for fresh signals on future rate cuts. 

GBP/USD defends 1.3550 after UK inflation data

GBP/USD is holding above 1.3550 in Wednesday's European morning, little changed following the UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) data release. The UK inflation eased as expected in January, reaffirming bets for a March BoE interest rate cut, especially after Tuesday's weak employment report. 

Gold retains bullish bias amid Fed rate cut bets, ahead of Fed Minutes

Gold sticks to modest intraday gains through the early European session, reversing a major part of the previous day's heavy losses of more than 2%, to the $4,843-4,842 region or a nearly two-week low. That said, the fundamental backdrop warrants caution for bulls ahead of the FOMC Minutes, which will look for more cues about the US Federal Reserve's rate-cut path. 

Pi Network rally defies market pressure ahead of its first anniversary

Pi Network is trading above $0.1900 at press time on Wednesday, extending the weekly gains by nearly 8% so far. The steady recovery is supported by a short-term pause in mainnet migration, which reduces pressure on the PI token supply for Centralized Exchanges. The technical outlook focuses on the $0.1919 resistance as bullish momentum increases.

Mixed UK inflation data no gamechanger for the Bank of England

Food inflation plunged in January, but service sector price pressure is proving stickier. We continue to expect Bank of England rate cuts in March and June. The latest UK inflation read is a mixed bag for the Bank of England, but we doubt it drastically changes the odds of a March rate cut.

Top 3 Price Prediction: Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple face downside risk as bears regain control

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple remain under pressure on Wednesday, with the broader trend still sideways. BTC is edging below $68,000, nearing the lower consolidating boundary, while ETH and XRP also declined slightly, approaching their key supports.