|

US Dollar Index finds support near 96.70, ISM eyed

  • The index drops and rebounds from lows in the 96.70 region.
  • Yields of the US 10-year note met resistance near 3.05%.
  • US ISM Manufacturing, Fedspeak next of relevance.

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the greenback vs. a basket of its main competitors, has started the week on the defensive dropping to the 96.70 area, where some support have emerged.

US Dollar Index looks to data, Fedspeak

The index opened Monday’s trading session with a gap lower against the backdrop of a strong improvement in the risk-associated universe in the wake of the G20 gathering.

The greenback stays under pressure in response to alleviating trade concerns between US and China after President Trump and Xi Jinping agreed a 90-day truce over the weekend. By this truce, the US should not increase tariffs or impose fresh ones, while negotiations towards a permanent deal will be under way.

In the US data space, the ISM Manufacturing will be the most relevant event today along with speeches by FOMC’s permanent voters R.Clarida, R.Quarles and L.Brainard and NY Fed J.Williams (also permanent voter, centrist).

US Dollar Index relevant levels

As of writing the index is losing 0.33% at 96.87 and a break below 96.62 (low Nov.29) would open the door to 96.32 (low Nov.22) and finally 96.04 (low Nov.20). On the flip side, the next hurdle emerges at 97.53 (high Nov.28) seconded by 97.69 (2018 high Nov.12) and then 97.87 (61.8% Fibo retracement of the 2017-2018 drop).

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds above 1.1750 after mixed EU PMI data

EUR/USD manages to hold above 1.1750 but struggles to gather recovery momentum on Friday, following the mixed February PMI figures from Germany and the Eurozone. In the second half of the day, Q4 GDP, December inflation and February PMI data from the US will be watched closely by market participants.

GBP/USD recovers further toward 1.3500 after UK PMI data

GBP/USD is recovering ground further toward 1.3500 in European trading on Friday, helped by a modest uptick in the Pound Sterling after stronger-than-expected UK January Retail Sales and February PMI data. However, the pair's further upside could be limited amid persistent US Dollar strength as the focus turns to key US data. 

Gold sticks to positive bias above $5,000 ahead of US data

Gold gains some positive traction for the third consecutive day on Friday. holding above $5,000. Traders now look forward to the key US macro releases – the Advance Q4 GDP report and the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index – for fresh trading impetus. 

US GDP growth expected to slow down significantly in Q4 after stellar Q3 

The United States Bureau of Economic Analysis will publish the first preliminary estimate of the fourth-quarter Gross Domestic Product at 13:30 GMT. Analysts forecast the US economy to have expanded at a 3% annualized rate, slowing down from the 4.4% growth posted in the previous quarter.

Iran tensions and AI fears at the forefront ahead of key US data

Thursday’s scorecard shows major US Stock benchmarks closed modestly in the red amid mounting US-Iran tensions and AI disruption worries. The S&P 500 shed 19 points (0.3%) to 6,861, the Nasdaq 100 lost 101 points (0.4%) to 24,797, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 267 points (0.5%) to 49,395.

Official Trump price approaches breakout with mixed signals from traders

Official Trump (TRUMP) is trading at $3.50 at the time of writing, approaching its upper consolidation range. A breakout from this range could open the door for an upside move. On-chain data shows market indecision, with balanced flows between bulls and bears, signaling a lack of clear directional bias.