|

US Dollar Index fades upside momentum as yields retreat despite China Covid woes

  • US Dollar Index snaps two-day uptrend, bounces off intraday low of late.
  • US 10-year Treasury bond yields print the first intraday loss in five at 1.5-month high.
  • Multiple nations announced requirement of COVID-19 tests for Chinese travelers.
  • Mixed US data, lack of major catalysts triggered consolidation despite risk-off mood.

US Dollar Index (DXY) holds lower grounds despite bouncing off the intraday bottom early Thursday in Europe. In doing so, the greenback’s gauge versus the six major currencies prints the first daily loss in three around 104.32 by the press time.

DXY’s latest pullback could be linked to the market’s rush towards the Yen and Swiss Franc, as well as the Gold prices, amid sour sentiment and mostly downbeat US data. The same could be linked to the retreat in the US Treasury bond yields from a multi-day high.

That said, the benchmark US 10-year Treasury yields dropped 2.2 basis points to 3.86% by the press time, after rising the most since October 19 the previous day. With this, the key bond coupons retreat from the six-week high while snapping a four-day uptrend.

Talking about the key risk-negative headlines, fresh Covid-linked prerequisites for Chinese travelers, amid doubts over Beijing’s reporting of data and a  jump in the virus numbers weigh on sentiment. On the same line could be Russia’s rejection of peace with Ukraine unless it accepts the treaty allowing additional territories, as well as an escalated war in the city of Kherson.

On Wednesday, US Pending Home Sales for November dropped to -37.8% YoY versus -36.7% expected and -37.0% previous readings while the Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index for December improved to 1.0 versus -4.0 anticipated and -9.0 prior.

Amid these plays, Wall Street closed in the red but S&P 500 Futures remain lackluster despite the downbeat performance of the Asia-Pacific shares.

Looking forward, weekly prints of the US Initial Jobless Claims and Chicago PMI for December will be eyed for short-term directions but major attention will be given to the risk catalysts and the bond market moves during the year-end inaction.

Technical analysis

US Dollar Index remains sidelined between the 21-DMA resistance and a two-week-old ascending support line, respectively near 104.60 and 104.00 by the press time.

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price104.32
Today Daily Change-0.20
Today Daily Change %-0.19%
Today daily open104.52
 
Trends
Daily SMA20104.62
Daily SMA50106.05
Daily SMA100108.66
Daily SMA200106.66
 
Levels
Previous Daily High104.56
Previous Daily Low103.84
Previous Weekly High104.94
Previous Weekly Low103.75
Previous Monthly High113.15
Previous Monthly Low105.32
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%104.28
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%104.11
Daily Pivot Point S1104.05
Daily Pivot Point S2103.58
Daily Pivot Point S3103.33
Daily Pivot Point R1104.77
Daily Pivot Point R2105.03
Daily Pivot Point R3105.49

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD retreats toward 1.1700 on modest USD recovery

EUR/USD stays under mild bearish pressure and trades below 1.1750 on Friday. Although trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, the modest recovery seen in the US Dollar causes the pair to edge lower. The economic calendar will not feature any high-impact data releases.

GBP/USD struggles to gain traction, stabilizes near 1.3450

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades marginally lower on the day at around 1.3450 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold climbs toward $4,400 following deep correction

Gold advances toward $4,400 and gains more than 1.5% on the day after suffering heavy losses amid profit-taking heading into the end of the year. Growing expectations for a dovish Fed policy and persistent geopolitical risks seem to be helping XAU/USD stretch higher.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).