US Dollar Index establishes below 98.00, subdued GDP and ADP Payrolls renew worries

The DXY has plunged below 98.00 after a weak performance from the US GDP and ADP Payrolls.
Risk-on impulse has diminished the appeal of safe-haven assets.
The US NFP and Russia-Ukraine peace talks are major events this week.

Sagar Dua FXStreet

The US dollar index (DXY) is facing the heat of subdued performance from the US economic indicators and rising demand for risk-sensitive assets after a constructive outcome from the first face-to-face Russia-Ukraine peace talks between their respective officials in Turkey. The mighty greenback-based index has plunged below 98.00, which has acted as a major cushion in the past few weeks.

US GDP and ADP Employment Change

The subdued performance from the US economic indicators on Wednesday has brought an intense sell-off in the mighty dollar. The US Bureau of Economic Analysis reported Gross Domestic Product (GDP) (Q4) growth on an annualized basis at 6.9%, slightly lower than the estimates and previous print of 7%. While the Automatic Data Processing (ADP) recorded Employment Change at 455k lower than the market consensus of 450k and earlier print of 486k.

The constructive outcome of the Russia-Ukraine peace talks

A cut-off in Russian troops in northern Ukraine and the capital Kyiv after the negotiations between Russia and Ukraine has underpinned the positive market sentiment. Risk-perceived assets are gaining traction amid an upbeat market tone as investors have considered the event as a positive step toward a ceasefire. While Ukraine has proposed an adaptation of a neutral status amid abstaining from alliances. The nations will resume their peace talks on April 1 via the web.

Key events this week: Core Personal Consumption Expenditure, Initial Jobless Claims, Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP), Unemployment Rate, and ISM Manufacturing PMI.

Eminent issues on the back boiler: Russia-Ukraine Peace Talks, OPEC Meeting, Fed President John C. Williams speech.

Dollar Index Spot

Overview
Today last price	97.82
Today Daily Change	-0.01
Today Daily Change %	-0.01
Today daily open	97.83

Trends
Daily SMA20	98.58
Daily SMA50	97.15
Daily SMA100	96.57
Daily SMA200	94.83

Levels
Previous Daily High	98.43
Previous Daily Low	97.68
Previous Weekly High	98.97
Previous Weekly Low	98.16
Previous Monthly High	97.74
Previous Monthly Low	95.14
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	97.97
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	98.14
Daily Pivot Point S1	97.54
Daily Pivot Point S2	97.24
Daily Pivot Point S3	96.79
Daily Pivot Point R1	98.28
Daily Pivot Point R2	98.72
Daily Pivot Point R3	99.02

Author

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

GBP/USD treads water around 1.3360

GBP/USD alternates gains with losses around the 1.3360 zone on Wednesday. That said, Cable’s upside remains capped as markets stay cautious following the flare-up of tensions in the Middle East.

EUR/USD flirts with 1.1400; geopolitical landscape deteriorates

EUR/USD comes under renewed selling pressure, slipping toward the 1.1400 region on Wednesday. The pair’s second daily pullback in a row follows extra strengthening of the US Dollar on renewed safe-haven demand after President Trump said the MOU with Iran to end the conflict was "over".

Gold loses impulse; focus shifts back to $4,000

Gold turns lower on Wednesday and trades deep in negative territory, opening the door to another potential visit to the key $4,000 yardstick per troy ounce. The yellow metal’s decline follows a modest uptick in the US Dollar as tensions in the Middle East have resurfaced.

Pi Network crashes to a record low amid broader market stress

Pi Network (PI) price edges toward $0.1000 extending losses for the fifth straight day. Retail sentiment remains bearish as Open Interest and the funding rate decline. The technical outlook for PI is bearish as selling pressure mounts, despite oversold conditions.

Fed Minutes to shed light on Warsh's first meeting as Chair

The United States (US) Federal Reserve (Fed) will release the Minutes of the June 16-17 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on Wednesday at 18:00 GMT. The Minutes should shed more light on the Fed’s hawkish hold delivered at Kevin Warsh’s first meeting as Fed Chair. Even so, doubts remain about how much the minutes will reveal, given Warsh's refusal to provide forward guidance.

Bye, forward guidance: How to trade when central banks choose silence

Central banks have spent years telling markets what might come next. Now, traders face the possibility that they say a lot less. From the Federal Reserve to the European Central Bank and the Bank of England, policymakers are pushing back against forward guidance.