|

US Dollar Index: Could a double bottom at the weekly chart drive the DXY to 111.000?

  • The US Dollar Index found bids at around the YTD lows at 100.788.
  • USD bulls must retake 104.000 to challenge YTD high at 105.883 and maintain a double-bottom approach.
  • Contrarily, USD bears must reclaim 100.788 to test the 200-week EMA at around 99.117.

The US Dollar Index (DXY), a basket of six currencies against a basket of peers, snaps three days of straight losses and climbs 0.56% as the New York session ends. At the time of writing, the DXY exchanges hand at 101.570 as a bullish engulfing candle pattern emerges in the daily chart.

US Dollar Index Price Action

From a weekly chart perspective, the US Dollar Index remains upward biased. The DXY’s fall from around September 2022 highs at 114.728 towards 2023 lows of 100.788 bottomed around the latter, depicting a double bottom formation. Furthermore, the 200-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA) sits comfortably at around 99.117. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is in bearish territory, but in the recent dip, the RSI is bottoming higher than the prior’s through. The Rate of Change (RoC) also displays that selling pressure is waning, which could pave the way for further upside.

Upside risks in the DXY lie at the confluence of the 50 and 20-week EMAs, around 103.893-103.930. The break above will expose the 2023 high at 105.883, the last peak, before clearing the way toward 111.000, the double-bottom initial target.

Conversely, the US Dollar Index’s first support would be 100.788. A dip below, and nothing would be in the way toward the 200-week EMA at 99.117.

US Dollar Index Weekly Chart

US Dollar Index Weekly Chart

USD Dollar Index Technical Levels

Dollar Index Spot

Overview
Today last price101.58
Today Daily Change0.56
Today Daily Change %0.55
Today daily open101.02
 
Trends
Daily SMA20102.41
Daily SMA50103.49
Daily SMA100103.57
Daily SMA200106.4
 
Levels
Previous Daily High101.6
Previous Daily Low100.85
Previous Weekly High103.06
Previous Weekly Low101.41
Previous Monthly High105.89
Previous Monthly Low101.92
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%101.14
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%101.31
Daily Pivot Point S1100.71
Daily Pivot Point S2100.4
Daily Pivot Point S399.96
Daily Pivot Point R1101.46
Daily Pivot Point R2101.9
Daily Pivot Point R3102.21

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD rebounds after falling toward 1.1700

EUR/USD gains traction and trades above 1.1730 in the American session, looking to end the week virtually unchanged. The bullish opening in Wall Street makes it difficult for the US Dollar to preserve its recovery momentum and helps the pair rebound heading into the weekend.

GBP/USD steadies below 1.3400 as traders assess BoE policy outlook

Following Thursday's volatile session, GBP/USD moves sideways below 1.3400 on Friday. Investors reassess the Bank of England's policy oıtlook after the MPC decided to cut the interest rate by 25 bps by a slim margin. Meanwhile, the improving risk mood helps the pair hold its ground.

Gold stays below $4,350, looks to post small weekly gains

Gold struggles to gather recovery momentum and stays below $4,350 in the second half of the day on Friday, as the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield edges higher. Nevertheless, the precious metal remains on track to end the week with modest gains as markets gear up for the holiday season.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid bearish market conditions

Bitcoin (BTC) is edging higher, trading above $88,000 at the time of writing on Monday. Altcoins, including Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP), are following in BTC’s footsteps, experiencing relief rebounds following a volatile week.

How much can one month of soft inflation change the Fed’s mind?

One month of softer inflation data is rarely enough to shift Federal Reserve policy on its own, but in a market highly sensitive to every data point, even a single reading can reshape expectations. November’s inflation report offered a welcome sign of cooling price pressures. 

XRP rebounds amid ETF inflows and declining retail demand demand

XRP rebounds as bulls target a short-term breakout above $2.00 on Friday. XRP ETFs record the highest inflow since December 8, signaling growing institutional appetite.