|

US Dollar Index: Could a double bottom at the weekly chart drive the DXY to 111.000?

  • The US Dollar Index found bids at around the YTD lows at 100.788.
  • USD bulls must retake 104.000 to challenge YTD high at 105.883 and maintain a double-bottom approach.
  • Contrarily, USD bears must reclaim 100.788 to test the 200-week EMA at around 99.117.

The US Dollar Index (DXY), a basket of six currencies against a basket of peers, snaps three days of straight losses and climbs 0.56% as the New York session ends. At the time of writing, the DXY exchanges hand at 101.570 as a bullish engulfing candle pattern emerges in the daily chart.

US Dollar Index Price Action

From a weekly chart perspective, the US Dollar Index remains upward biased. The DXY’s fall from around September 2022 highs at 114.728 towards 2023 lows of 100.788 bottomed around the latter, depicting a double bottom formation. Furthermore, the 200-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA) sits comfortably at around 99.117. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is in bearish territory, but in the recent dip, the RSI is bottoming higher than the prior’s through. The Rate of Change (RoC) also displays that selling pressure is waning, which could pave the way for further upside.

Upside risks in the DXY lie at the confluence of the 50 and 20-week EMAs, around 103.893-103.930. The break above will expose the 2023 high at 105.883, the last peak, before clearing the way toward 111.000, the double-bottom initial target.

Conversely, the US Dollar Index’s first support would be 100.788. A dip below, and nothing would be in the way toward the 200-week EMA at 99.117.

US Dollar Index Weekly Chart

US Dollar Index Weekly Chart

USD Dollar Index Technical Levels

Dollar Index Spot

Overview
Today last price101.58
Today Daily Change0.56
Today Daily Change %0.55
Today daily open101.02
 
Trends
Daily SMA20102.41
Daily SMA50103.49
Daily SMA100103.57
Daily SMA200106.4
 
Levels
Previous Daily High101.6
Previous Daily Low100.85
Previous Weekly High103.06
Previous Weekly Low101.41
Previous Monthly High105.89
Previous Monthly Low101.92
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%101.14
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%101.31
Daily Pivot Point S1100.71
Daily Pivot Point S2100.4
Daily Pivot Point S399.96
Daily Pivot Point R1101.46
Daily Pivot Point R2101.9
Daily Pivot Point R3102.21

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD stays bid above 1.1700 as risk flows dominate

EUR/USD posts small gains above 1.1700 in early European trading hours on Monday. The US Dollar remains broadly subdued amid a risk-on market profile, underpinning the pair. 

GBP/USD clings to recovery gains near 1.3400

GBP/USD is clinging to recovery gains near 1.3400 in early Europe on Monday. The pair capitalizes on an upbeat market mood and a steady US Dollar as traders digest the recent

 monetary policy decisions by the Fed and the BoE.

Gold hits fresh record highs above $4,400 amid renewed geopolitical woes

Gold is hitting fresh record highs above $4,400 early Monday, helped by renewed geopolitical tensions. Israel-Iran conflict and US-Venezuela headlines drive investors toward the traditional store of value, Gold. 

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple eye breakout for fresh recovery

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are approaching key technical levels at the time of writing on Monday as the broader crypto market stabilizes. Market participants are closely watching whether BTC, ETH, and XRP can sustain breakouts and achieve decisive daily closes above nearby resistance levels, which could signal the start of a short-term recovery.

De-dollarisation by design: Gold’s partner in the new system

You don’t need another 2008 for the system to reset. You just need enough nations to stop settling trade in dollars. And that’s already happening. "If gold is the anchor, what actually moves value in a post-dollar world?” It’s a question most gold investors overlook. We think in terms of storage and preservation, but in the new rails being built, settlement speed matters just as much as soundness of money.

Hyperliquid price forecast: Bullish interest builds amid user recovery

Hyperliquid (HYPE) trades at $25 at press time on Monday, holding the 3% gains from the previous day. The perpetual exchange sees a recovery in active users, while weekly fees collected decline to the lowest level so far this month.