|

US Dollar Index challenges lows near 96.30 post-U Mich

  • The index loses the grip and drops to the 96.30/25 band.
  • Yields of the US-10 note rebound from lows near 2.84%.
  • US advanced Consumer Sentiment seen at 95.3 in August.

The greenback, in terms of the US Dollar Index (DXY), is meeting further downside pressure and is navigating daily lows in the 96.30/25 band.

US Dollar offered on US data

The index is down for the second session in a row at the end of the week, re-visiting lows in the 96.30/20 band although managing well to close the fourth week with gains, including a new YTD peaks in the 97.00 neighbourhood (August 15).

The upside momentum in the greenback lost some traction as of late in response to the pick up in the sentiment around the EM FX space, particularly following the recovery in the Turkish Lira and the Chinese Yuan.

In addition, the effervescence around the US-China trade dispute has been decreasing since Chinese officials announced a visit to the US in order to resume the trade talks.

Adding to the downbeat mood around the buck, US flash Consumer Sentiment is expected to drop to 95.3 in August, according to the U-Mich index.

US Dollar relevant levels

As of writing the index is down 0.31% at 96.29 and faces immediate contention at 95.92 (10-day SMA) seconded by 95.26 (21-day SMA) and finally 94.08 (low Jul.26). On the upside, a break above 96.98 (2018 high Aug.15) would open the door to 97.00 (psychological level) and then 97.87 (61.8% Fibo of the 2017-2018 drop).

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD tumbles to three-day lows around 1.3420

GBP/USD comes under extra selling pressure and revisits the area of multi-day lows near 1.3420 in quite a bearish start to the week. Cable’s decline comes amid the firmer Greenback as investors continue to assess developments in the US-Iran conflict. Moving forward, attention will turn to the UK employment report on Tuesday.


EUR/USD remains offered near 1.1400

EUR/USD trades on the back foot for the third day in a row and approaches the key 1.1400 threshold, or multi-day troughs, on Monday. The pair’s pullback comes amid persistent uncertainty surrounding the Middle East crisis and a solid performance of the US Dollar. Later this week, attention will turn to the ECB’s interest rate decision.

Gold stuck just above $4,000

Gold reverses Friday’s uptick, gyrating around the key $4,000 mark per troy ounce at the beginning of the week. Escalating military action in the Middle East provides some support to the safe-haven metal, although expectations of higher US interest rates bolster the US Dollar and keeps its under the microscope.

Ethereum remains fragile underneath the surface despite outperformance

Ethereum's outperformance over the past week shows it's gaining relative strength against other top cryptocurrencies, but under the surface, key metrics indicate its rise remains fragile. Between last week and Wednesday, ETH recorded double-digit gains, outperforming fellow crypto majors Bitcoin, XRP, and Solana, before the broader market began to correct on Thursday.

Ripple Price: XRP bears retail control despite increasing retail demand
Ripple (XRP) faces sustained selling pressure as bears maintain control on Monday. The remittance token has struggled to break above the $1.10 resistance since last Thursday, as risk sentiment weighs. Demand for XRP derivatives has gradually increased since last week, with the perpetual futures Open Interest (OI) averaging 2.4 billion XRP on Monday, up from 2.13 billion XRP the previous day.
US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.