|

Upside risks for the Dollar dominate ahead of US inflation data – Commerzbank

The FX market is quite nervy about today’s January inflation data. Economists at Commerzbank expect the US Dollar to remain on a solid foot for the time being.

There is very little reason for the Fed to become less restrictive

“For now, the risk tilted towards a stronger Dollar is likely to dominate at present.”

“As long as the labour market remains strong, with inflation remaining well above the target, there is very little reason for the Fed to become less restrictive. This is unlikely to be changed by today’s inflation data.”

“Only once there is a clear indication that the monetary tightening is having a significant cooling effect on the US economy, the framework conditions have been created for a fall in inflation, followed by rate cuts. The Dollar is only likely to tend weaker at that state.”

See – US CPI Forecast: Preview from 12 major banks, inflation continues to decelerate

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD remains on the back foot near 1.1750

EUR/USD is coming under renewed pressure, sliding towards multi-week lows in the mid-1.1700s on Thursday. The move lower reflects another strong session for the US Dollar, with the Greenback drawing fresh support from a batch of firm US data that reinforced its underlying bid.

GBP/USD drops further, hovers around 1.3460

GBP/USD is sliding in tandem with its risk-sensitive peers, drifting back towards the 1.3440 area, its lowest levels in around four weeks. The move reflects a firmer Greenback, supported by another round of solid US data, while a somewhat divided FOMC Minutes has added an extra layer of uncertainty around the Fed’s rate path, keeping Cable on the defensive.

Gold struggles to overcome $5,000

Gold is trading with humble gains on Thursday, hovering around the key $5,000 mark per troy ounce. The yellow metal remains underpinned by renewed geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, even as a stronger US Dollar and rising US Treasury yields across the curve limit the upside and keep price action relatively contained.

Ripple slips toward $1.40 despite SG-FORGE tapping protocol for EUR CoinVertible

XRP extends its decline, nearing $1.40 support, as risk appetite fades in the broader market. SG-FORGE’s EUR CoinVertible launches on the XRP Ledger, leveraging the blockchain’s scalability, speed, security, and decentralization.

Hawkish Fed minutes and a market finding its footing

It was green across the board for US Stock market indexes at the close on Wednesday, with most S&P 500 names ending higher, adding 38 points (0.6%) to 6,881 overall. At the GICS sector level, energy led gains, followed by technology and consumer discretionary, while utilities and real estate posted the largest losses.

Injective token surges over 13% following the approval of the mainnet upgrade proposal

Injective price rallies over 13% on Thursday after the network confirmed the approval of its IIP-619 proposal. The green light for the mainnet upgrade has boosted traders’ sentiment, as the upgrade aims to scale Injective’s real-time Ethereum Virtual Machine architecture and enhance its capabilities to support next-generation payments.