|

UK economy could avoid a recession – UOB

In light of the recent performance of GDP figures, the UK economy could have averted slopping into a technical recession, suggested Lee Sue Ann, Economist at UOB Group.

Key Quotes

“Indeed, the risk of the UK sliding into its first recession in a decade has receded following a stronger-than-expected GDP growth in July”.

“UK GDP rose by 0.3% m/m, beating expectations of just 0.1% m/m. Manufacturing and construction were also in positive territory - up by 0.3% m/m and 0.5% m/m respectively. Growth was flat over the three months to July, but this was an improvement on the 0.2% contraction seen in the April-to-June quarter”.

“July’s figures are the first in a crucial third quarter as UK politicians continue their squabble over Brexit, with the outcome still far from certain”.

“Following the contraction in the second quarter, the chances of a negative GDP print in the third quarter have now fallen significantly, meaning that a technical recession will likely be avoided”.

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD clings to daily gains, still below 1.1900

EUR/USD manages to reverse two daily pullbacks in a row and advances modestly on Thursday, hovering around the 1.1880 zone amid the inconclusive price action around the US Dollar. Meanwhile, weekly Initial Claims rose more than expected last week, while attention is expected to shift to the upcoming US CPI data on Friday.

GBP/USD picks up pace, hits 1.3640

GBP/USD trades with modest gains around 1.3640 so far on Thursday. Indeed, Cable looks to leave behind the weakness seen in the first half of the week in a context of an equally erratic performance in the Greenback and disappoting UK data releases.

Gold stays offered below $5,100

Gold keeps the choppy trade well in place on Thursday, navigating the area below the $5,100 mark per troy ounce amid the lack of clear direction in the Greenback, declining US Treasury yields across the curve and caution ahead of Friday’s publication of US CPI.

LayerZero Price Forecast: ZRO steadies as markets digest Zero blockchain announcement

LayerZero (ZRO) trades above $2.00 at press time on Thursday, holding steady after a 17% rebound the previous day, which aligned with the public announcement of the Zero blockchain and Cathie Wood joining the advisory board. 

A tale of two labour markets: Headline strength masks underlying weakness

Undoubtedly, yesterday’s delayed US January jobs report delivered a strong headline – one that surpassed most estimates. However, optimism quickly faded amid sobering benchmark revisions.

Aster Price Forecast: Demand sparks on Binance Wallet partnership for on-chain perpetuals

Aster is up roughly 9% so far on Thursday, hinting at the breakout of a crucial resistance level. Aster partners up with Binance wallet for the second season of the on-chain perpetuals challenge.