Three factors continue to push equity markets gradually higher – BMO

The S&P 500 is up 33.5% from a year ago, and momentum has held firm over the past three and six-months, up 21% and 29% annualized, respectively. Here is a look at three factors that are helping to keep the market moving steadily higher, in the view of economists at the Bank of Montreal. 


Asset inflation

“Goods price inflation remains a key factor; wage inflation is a potential concern, but asset-price inflation is still very much alive too. While the focus on this front tends to zero in on areas like housing, commercial real estate and cryptocurrency/meme stocks, it is very much supporting the broader equity market as liquidity on both household and corporate balance sheets looks for a home and/or a hedge.”

Longer interest rate view

“While Fed tapering is the next major policy move on the radar, it appears the market is still comfortable assuming a low-for-long interest rate environment post-COVID. For now, 10- and 30-year Treasury yields have settled in slightly below pre-COVID levels. For equities, this has helped ease valuation concerns that were percolating earlier in the year.”

Lots of earnings support

“Earnings growth topped 95% YoY and, beyond base effects, the level of earnings on the S&P 500 has surged more than 20% above pre-COVID levels. Combined with the decline in longer-term interest rates, this has helped justify the move in prices. And, it reinforces that, even as Main Street continues to face some challenges, big businesses that trade on the S&P 500 can still thrive.”


Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Feed news

Latest Forex News

Latest Forex News

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD holds near mid-1.1600s after German IFO data

EUR/USD continues to trade in the positive territory around 1.1650 as investors don't seem to be paying much attention to the soft German IFO data. The dollar remains on the back foot but losses are limited by rising T-bond yields.


GBP/USD drops towards 1.3750 as dollar rebounds

GBP/USD is falling towards 1.3750, undermined by the US dollar bounce,  as the Treasury yields recover ground. UK's Frost hints at compromise on Northern Ireland’s post-Brexit trade rules. BOE-speak, China news in focus. 


XAU/USD looks north, with eyes on $1814 and $1820

Gold price eyes a sustained move above $1800 amid USD weakness. Market sentiment remains mixed ahead of a critical week.

Gold News

Crypto markets coil up for an explosive move

Bitcoin price correction seems to be holding above $60,000, but fear of an extended pullback persists. Ethereum price coils up between $3,900 and $4,200, preventing a retracement. Ripple price consolidates in a bullish pennant, suggesting a 26% ascent is likely.

Read more

Wall Street Week Ahead: Huge week of earnings ahead AAPL, MSFT, GOOGL, AMZN, FB

Equity markets remain elevated with more all-time highs on Thursday for the broader S&P 500 while the Dow registered new highs on Wednesday and Thursday. So far late into Friday's session, the markets are seeing some profit-taking to end a solid week.

Read more