|

S&P/TSX 60 index Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]

S&P/TSX 60 Elliott Wave technical analysis

  • Function: Counter Trend.

  • Mode: Corrective.

  • Structure: Navy Blue Wave 2.

  • Position: Gray wave 3.

  • Direction (Next higher degrees): Navy blue wave 3.

  • Details: Navy Blue Wave 1 seems completed; Navy Blue Wave 2 is now active.

The daily chart for the S&P/TSX 60, interpreted via Elliott Wave theory, shows the index currently in a corrective counter-trend phase. The structure under focus is navy blue wave 2, part of a broader gray wave 3 impulsive formation.

The earlier navy blue wave 1 appears to have concluded, with current market behavior developing within wave 2. The next anticipated move is the emergence of wave 3, which generally aligns with the dominant upward trend and is often marked by strong, sustained momentum.

This setup suggests a likely bullish continuation following the end of wave 2. Traders should observe standard corrective patterns—zigzags, flats, or triangles—to determine the wave’s end. Spotting the transition from correction to impulse is crucial in validating this wave count.

Volume and momentum indicators will be key to confirming the start of wave 3, which typically delivers the most dynamic market action. The corrective phase currently presents an opportunity to prepare for a potential breakout move.

The Elliott Wave model provides a structured way to understand price direction. Staying focused on wave development, along with technical signals, will help traders align with market expectations. A breakout in Navy Blue Wave 3 may present a strong upside trend.

S&P/TSX 60 Elliott Wave Technical Analysis

  • Function: Counter Trend.

  • Mode: Corrective.

  • Structure: Navy Blue Wave 2.

  • Position: Gray wave 3.

  • Direction (Next higher degrees): Navy blue wave 3.

  • Details: Navy Blue Wave 1 appears complete; Navy Blue Wave 2 is now developing.

The weekly chart for the S&P/TSX 60, analyzed with Elliott Wave theory, highlights a counter-trend corrective phase currently in progress. The market structure has finalized Navy Blue Wave 1, with Navy Blue Wave 2 now forming within the larger Gray Wave 3 framework. This indicates a short-term pullback before the dominant uptrend resumes.

Wave 2 typically retraces part of wave 1’s progress. The current move is expected to follow a conventional Elliott Wave corrective pattern—like a zigzag, flat, or triangle—before transitioning into wave 3, which often delivers the most powerful market action in the sequence.

Traders should closely watch for the completion of wave 2, as this sets the stage for a potential strong upward move in wave 3. This shift from correction to impulse usually presents prime entry opportunities. Technical signals, such as volume behavior and momentum indicators, can aid in confirming this transition.

This corrective phase may represent a brief pause before a major bullish advance. Once wave 2 finishes, market direction could sharply align with wave 3’s path, offering substantial trend-following opportunities.

From a weekly perspective, this correction fits into the broader wave cycle and presents a key setup for the next impulsive phase. Close monitoring of wave patterns and confirmation tools will be essential for timing strategic positions.

Technical analyst: Malik Awais.

S&P/TSX 60 Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]

Author

Peter Mathers

Peter Mathers

TradingLounge

Peter Mathers started actively trading in 1982. He began his career at Hoei and Shoin, a Japanese futures trading company.

More from Peter Mathers
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flat lines near 1.1750 ahead of ECB policy decision

EUR/USD remains flat after two down days, trading around 1.1750 in the European session on Thursday. Traders move to the sidelines and refrain from placing any fresh directional bets on the pair ahead of the ECB policy announcements and the US CPI inflation data. 

GBP/USD stays defensive below 1.3400, awaits BoE and US CPI

GBP/USD oscillates in a narrow band below 1.3400 in European trading on Thursday. The pair trades with caution as markets eagerly await the BoE policy verdict and US consumer inflation data for fresh directional impetus. 

Gold awaits weekly trading range breakout ahead of US CPI report

Gold struggles to capitalize on the previous day's move higher back closer to the $4,350 level and trades with a mild negative bias during the Asian session on Thursday. The downtick could be attributed to some profit-taking amid a US Dollar uptick, though it is likely to remain cushioned on the back of a supportive fundamental backdrop. 

Dogecoin breaks key support amid declining investor confidence

Dogecoin trades in the red on Thursday, following a 4% decline on the previous day. The DOGE supply in profit declines as large wallet investors trim their portfolios. Derivatives data shows a surge in bearish positions amid declining retail interest.

Monetary policy: Three central banks, three decisions, the same caution

While the Fed eased its monetary policy on 10 December for the third consecutive FOMC meeting, without making any guarantees about future action, the BoE, the ECB and the BoJ are holding their respective meetings this week. 

Dogecoin Price Forecast: DOGE breaks key support amid declining investor confidence

Dogecoin (DOGE) trades in the red on Thursday, following a 4% decline on the previous day. The DOGE supply in profit declines as large wallet investors trim their portfolios. Derivatives data shows a surge in bearish positions amid declining retail interest.