|

S&P 500 Futures portray risk-off amid quiet markets in Asia

  • S&P 500 Futures fails to hold onto Friday’s gains.
  • The coronavirus fears keep the risk-tone heavy, ignores US aid package and US President Trump’s push for economic restart.
  • A light economic calendar ahead of the US session keeps virus updates as the key catalyst.

S&P 500 Futures defies Friday’s recovery moves while declining to 2,817, down 0.42% a day, amid the early Monday morning in Asia. The equity gauge seems to have been pressured by the latest concerns surrounding the coronavirus (COVID-19).

While pushing for an early economic restart, US President Donald Trump suggested, on Friday, the use of disinfectant injections as a trial for the virus treatment. The idea was criticized heavily and might have been the reason for the cancellation of the daily Coronavirus Task Force Briefings by the Trump administration during Saturday and Sunday.

The latest figures from the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) mentioned that the death toll rose to 52,459 versus the previous day’s 50,439 whereas the cases surged to 928,619 as of 4:00 PM April 26 against 895,766 at 4:00 PM on April 25.

It should also be noted that the fears of virus resurgence, amid talks of easing the lockdowns, at the major economies also weigh on the risk-tone. The UK, Europe, Australia and New Zealand are also considering to ease the lockdowns announced during the early-April but are fearing the spike in cases if the exit is too early.

Also, a distant burden on the risk could be uncertainty surrounding the health of the North Korean leader Kim Jong-un.

Even so, the US 10-year Treasury yields register nearly one basis points of gains to 0.604% while beginning the week.

Moving on, the Asian markets are mostly dead amid no major data and the ANZAC Day holiday in New Zealand. Hence, traders will keep watching the virus updates for fresh impulse ahead of the US session wherein the Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index for April, prior -70, could entertain the traders.

Other than today, the present week offers many important data/events and is likely to be the key to the near-term market direction.

Read: What you need to know for markets opening: BoJ, Brexit and N.Korea a focus

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD struggles below 0.7100, lowest since August 4 amid bullish USD

AUD/USD remains depressed below 0.7100 at the start of a new week, trading near its lowest level since August 4 amid a bullish US Dollar. US bond yields hold near multi-year highs amid inflation risks from higher oil prices and rising bets on a Fed rate hike in October. This, along with the US-Iran standoff, continues to underpin the safe-haven buck and weigh on the currency pair as traders now look to the RBA policy meeting on Tuesday.

USD/JPY climbs back to 157.75 after BoJ minutes amid firm USD

USD/JPY attracts some dip-buyers at the start of a new week, reversing part of Friday's slide driven by speculation that authorities will step in again to prop up the Japanese Yen. However, the BoJ's relative dovish-leaning tone caps the JPY. Meanwhile, the US Dollar regains traction as the US-Iran standoff supports crude oil prices, fueling inflation fears and reaffirming bets for an October Fed rate hike. This further support the pair.

Gold hangs near monthly low, around $4,250 as Fed hike bets and Iran risks underpin USD

Gold attracts fresh sellers at the start of a new week, sliding back closer to $4,250 and the lower boundary of the monthly range amid a bearish fundamental backdrop. Firming October Fed rate-hike bets, along with oil-driven inflation risks, keep US bond yields elevated near multi-year highs, helping the US Dollar regain positive traction and undermining the non-yielding bullion. Bears, however, await weakness below $4,235 before placing fresh bets.

Week ahead: Rate hike bets face a crucial data week
Despite the solid drop from the mid-September high, oil prices remained in the driver’s seat for another week, setting the tone in financial markets. Six months have passed since the late-February start of the US-Iran conflict, and there is still no breakthrough in the stalled talks, despite pressure from regional leaders and the rest of the world.
After the Trump Xi summit, markets are trading three clocks
The summit delivered time, not a deal. Trade, oil and chips now each run to a date, and the macro backdrop matters more than the pageantry. Markets wanted a deal and got a calendar date instead. Xi Jinping left Washington on Friday after tea at the White House and a tour of the National Archives.
Fed vs BoJ: Both hiked. The market only believes one of them – and the chart shows which

The Fed and the BoJ have just done something remarkably similar. Both central banks raised interest rates by 25 bps last week, both are confronting inflation risks, and both signal that future decisions will depend on incoming economic data.