|

Silver sinks to the bottom, faring behind gold as USD moons

  • Gold/Silver ratio spikes as silver longs get squeezed by dollar strength. 
  • A technical move sent XAG/USD to daily S1 on the back of Fed Powell's comments and market volatility. 

The price of the white metal came under immense pressure on Thursday, despite an optimistic outlook for economic growth prospects from the chair of the US Federal Reserve, Jerome Powell. 

At the time of writing, XAG/USD is trading at $25.2900 and down by over 3%. The gold to silver ratio is trading around 2.7% higher with gold down by less than 1% on the day. 

The US dollar has mooned on the back of US Treasury yields busting through critical levels with the 10-year yield well above 1.50%, advancing to a high of 1.5470%.

Despite Powell's dovish rhetoric and cautiously optimistic economic outlook, US stocks have also fallen as markets weigh the prevailing risks to the economic recovery pertaining to the threat of higher rates and inflation. 

Silver's technical rout

However, there is little fundamental as to why silver has fared so poorly, relative to commodity prices in general that remain in good stead. 

The CRB index is bid by 0.4% on the day, only modestly pressured around the Fed event. That being said, oil prices are the major component of the CRB index which have rallied over 4% on the day. 

There was just less dry powder in silver compared to gold and higher long speculative positions were potentially squeezed in a technical drop below 26.0950 on the hourly chart ahead of S1 at 25.7635.

Silver technical analysis

26.0950 was a firm-level on the hourly chart from which gave way to hourly S1 at 25.7635.

Some short covering took place in the 25.40s but the final blow to the lows of the day and a touch above daily S1. 

On a correction, the bulls can target the old daily lows and a confluence with a 38.2% Fibo retracement of the daily bearish impulse at 25.7640. 

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD meets initial support around 1.1800

EUR/USD remains on the back foot, although it has managed to reverse the initial strong pullback toward the 1.1800 region and regain some balance, hovering around the 1.1850 zone as the NA session draws to a close on Tuesday. Moving forward, market participants will now shift their attention to the release of the FOMC Minutes and US hard data on Wednesday.
 

GBP/USD bounces off lows, retargets 1.3550

After bottoming out just below the 1.3500 yardstick, GBP/USD now gathers some fresh bids and advances to the 1.3530-1.3540 band in the latter part of Tuesday’s session. Cable’s recovery comes as the Greenback surrenders part of its advance, although it keeps the bullish bias well in place for the day.

Gold remains offered below $5,000

Gold stays on the defensive on Tuesday, receding to the sub-$5,000 region per troy ounce on the back of the persistent move higher in the Greenback. The precious metal’s decline is also underpinned by the modest uptick in US Treasury yields across the spectrum.

RBNZ set to pause interest-rate easing cycle as new Governor Breman faces firm inflation

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand remains on track to maintain the Official Cash Rate at 2.25% after concluding its first monetary policy meeting of this year on Wednesday.

UK jobs market weakens, bolstering rate cut hopes

In the UK, the latest jobs report made for difficult reading. Nonetheless, this represents yet another reminder for the Bank of England that they need to act swiftly given the collapse in inflation expected over the coming months. 

Ripple slides to $1.45 as downside risks surge

Ripple edges lower at the time of writing on Tuesday, from the daily open of $1.48, as headwinds persist across the crypto market. A short-term support is emerging at $1.45, but a buildup of bearish positions could further weaken the derivatives market and prolong the correction.