|

Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD turns choppy after rallying near $23.70, US yields rebound

  • Silver price turns back and forth after an upside move following the choppy US Dollar.
  • The Fed delivered a hawkish commentary on interest rates and sees inflation getting controlled in 2026.
  • S&P Global reported subdued preliminary PMIs for September.

Silver price (XAG/USD) turns sideways after a vertical upside move to near crucial resistance of $23.70 in the early New York session. The white metal struggles for a direction as the US Dollar Index (DXY) demonstrates a squeeze in volatility after an unchanged interest rate decision by the Federal Reserve (Fed) as expected.

The Fed delivered a hawkish commentary on interest rates and sees inflation getting controlled in 2026. Interest rates are expected to remain lofty long enough’ till the achievement of price stability.

S&P500 opened on a positive note on Friday, portraying some improvement in appeal for risk-sensitive currencies. While the broader bias is bearish as fears of a global slowdown are intact. The USD Index remains choppy despite the subdued preliminary PMI report for September, released by the S&P Global. The 10-year US Treasury yields rebounded sharply to

The Manufacturing PMI landed at 48.0 in line with expectations and slightly higher than the former reading of 47.9. The economic data has been contracting for a long period, a figure below 50.0 is itself considered a contraction in economic activities. The Services PMI, which tracks a sector that accounts for two-thirds of the US economy, dropped to 50.2 vs. expectations of 50.6 and the former release of 50.5.

Silver technical analysis

Silver price trades in a Rising Wedge chart pattern on a two-hour scale, in which pullbacks are considered buying opportunities by market participants till the volatility contraction. Upward-sloping 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $23.48 indicates that the short-term trend is bullish.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) shifts into the bullish range of 60.00-80.00, which indicates that the bullish impulse has been triggered.

Silver two-hour chart

XAG/USD

Overview
Today last price23.61
Today Daily Change0.20
Today Daily Change %0.85
Today daily open23.41
 
Trends
Daily SMA2023.54
Daily SMA5023.69
Daily SMA10023.65
Daily SMA20023.47
 
Levels
Previous Daily High23.47
Previous Daily Low22.81
Previous Weekly High23.29
Previous Weekly Low22.3
Previous Monthly High25.02
Previous Monthly Low22.23
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%23.22
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%23.06
Daily Pivot Point S122.99
Daily Pivot Point S222.57
Daily Pivot Point S322.33
Daily Pivot Point R123.65
Daily Pivot Point R223.89
Daily Pivot Point R324.31

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD keeps the bid bias near 1.3550

GBP/USD leaves behind part of the recent three-day retracement and hovers around the 1.3550 region on Monday. The Greenback’s fresh downward trend helps Cable and the rest of the risk complex recoup part of the recent ground lost while attention remains on the potential Fed rate path.

EUR/USD retakes 1.1600; looks at the 200-day SMA

EUR/USD manages to gather fresh steam and advances past the 1.1600 hurdle as Monday’s NA session draws to a close. Indeed, the pair patially reverses Friday’s sharp retracement amid the renewed downside momentum in the US Dollar. Moving forward, the flash Inflation Rate in the euro zone and US JOLTs and the ISM Manufacturing should keep investors entertained on turnaround Tuesday.

Gold: Is the bullish run over?

Gold adds to Friday’s marked decline, although it has managed to bounce off earlier lows in the sub-$4,400 region per troy ounce on Monday. The yellow metal’s pullback comes despite the softer stance in the US Dollar and steady uncertainty in the Middle East, although rising yields keep bulls at bay for now.

Bitcoin and Gold Outlook: BTC clings to support, XAU slides as US-Iran tensions re-escalate
Bitcoin (BTC) maintains stability above $78,000 support on Monday as crypto prices broadly consolidate. Gold (XAU/USD), meanwhile, holds above $4,400, marking two consecutive days of declines. Sentiment in the broader cryptocurrency market remains broadly positive, with the Fear & Greed Index holding at 62 on Monday, down slightly from 69 the previous day.
Oil rallies on fresh persian gulf strikes
Energy prices are trading firmer this morning after the US carried out targeted strikes against Iran, drawing retaliatory strikes and reinforcing concerns about a prolonged stalemate in the Persian Gulf. Oil prices started the week stronger following the first military strikes between the US and Iran in a month. ICE Brent briefly moved back above US$90/bbl in early morning Asia trading.
Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.