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Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD remains subdued around $22.50 amid falling US T-bond yields

  • The white-metal extends its gains for three days, up some 0.22%.
  • Falling yields and risk-aversion boost the precious metal’s prospects and weaken the buck.
  • XAG/USD Technical Outlook: Slightly tilted to the upside but needs to reclaim the $23.50 region.

Silver (XAG/USD) barely advances during the New York session, though it extends its gains for the third consecutive day, trading at $22.53 at the time of writing. The market sentiment is downbeat as portrayed by global equity indices falling, while US T-bond yields continue their post-Fed free fall, with the 10-year Treasury yield down three basis points, sitting under 1.40%.

In the meantime, the US Dollar Index, which measures the greenback’s performance against a basket of six peers, is up 0.28%, currently at 96.32.

Factors like a risk-off environment and falling US T-bond yields underpinned the non-yielding metal. Silver bulls are eyeing a break above the December 6 swing high at $22.59. Once decisively broken, it could send XAG/USD rallying towards the confluence of the 50 and the 100-day moving averages (DMAs) around $23.45-50. However, they would face medium resistance around the $23.00 threshold.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI), a momentum indicator around 45, aims to the upside, would support a bullish bias; nevertheless, caution is warranted as RSI remains below the 50-midline, failing to trigger a bullish signal.

On the other hand, failure at $23.00 could send XAG/USD tumbling. The first demand zone would be the December 16 swing low at $21.90. The breach of the latter would expose crucial support levels, as the December 15 low at $21.40, followed by the YTD low on September 30 at $21.33.

Daily chart

XAG/USD

Overview
Today last price22.53
Today Daily Change0.05
Today Daily Change %0.22
Today daily open22.48
 
Trends
Daily SMA2022.79
Daily SMA5023.53
Daily SMA10023.54
Daily SMA20024.93
 
Levels
Previous Daily High22.54
Previous Daily Low21.92
Previous Weekly High22.62
Previous Weekly Low21.83
Previous Monthly High25.41
Previous Monthly Low22.69
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%22.3
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%22.15
Daily Pivot Point S122.08
Daily Pivot Point S221.69
Daily Pivot Point S321.46
Daily Pivot Point R122.7
Daily Pivot Point R222.93
Daily Pivot Point R323.33

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

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