|

Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD to target $26 by mid-2024 – TDS

Silver is projected to do well as it trends toward $26, strategists at TD Securities report.

Dovish pivot, economic recovery and electrification positives for Silver

The pending reversal of hawkish monetary policy should help catalyze more supportive flows in early 2024, after it becomes clear that the Fed and other central banks will pivot to a more dovish monetary policy stance. We judge the actual policy tilt toward a more dovish stance will start in June 2024, but markets should react positively many months before this happens.

Once an economic recovery is on the horizon, the white metal should get an additional boost from the industrial side, which could see the white metal target $26 mid-2024. At that time, lower interest rates, firmer physical investment, ETP purchases and industrial demand will work together to tighten market conditions.

Given the lack of mining capacity, its more intensive use in electric vehicles, and growing demand from solar panels as the world transitions into a net zero economy, there will be a structural component working along with lower rates and cyclical demand increases next year.

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD holds above 0.6950 as bullish USD caps gains

AUD/USD edges lower during the Asian session on Tuesday, stalling a two-day recovery move from a two-month low, touched last week. An extended rout in the fixed income market keeps US bond yields elevated near multi-year highs. This, along with geopolitical uncertainties, helps the US Dollar retain its bullish tone despite receding October Fed hike bets. However, expectations for another RBA rate hike this month could act as a tailwind for the Aussie.

USD/JPY rises back above 158.00 despite hawkish BoJ outlook

USD/JPY rises back above 158.00 in the early European morning on Tuesday. The pair strengthens as the Japanese Yen fails to find any inspiration from hawkish BoJ expectations and looming intervention risks. Meanwhile, geopolitical uncertainty and elevated US bond yields keep the US Dollar near its YTD high despite receding October Fed hike bets. This, in turn, helps the pair stay supported.

Gold seems vulnerable near two-month low amid strong USD, higher US bond yields

Gold sticks to modest intraday losses heading into the European session, though it holds above the $4,100 mark, a two-month low touched earlier this Tuesday. The US Dollar retains its bullish tone and continues to undermine demand for the commodity. However, receding bets for an October Fed rate hike act as a tailwind for the non-yielding bullion and help limit further losses.

Ripple and Stellar weaken as derivatives positioning fades
Ripple (XRP) and Stellar (XLM) face pressure trading below $1.499 and $0.220, respectively, on Tuesday after a modest correction at the start of the week. Traders should be cautious as weakening derivatives metrics and fading bullish momentum suggest further corrections for XRP and XLM. Derivatives data shows a weakening and cautious signal among traders.
Europe in focus as French and Spanish politics drive sentiment

There are no tier-1 releases today. Focus will remain on developments in the European markets and geopolitical developments in the Middle East. In France, the key issue in the coming days will be whether the Socialists and Marine Le Pen's National Rally signal they are willing to topple the government over the budget.

Eurozone inflation just hit 3.8%, its highest in three years. This chart shows why the ECB can’t simply hike its way out

The ECB would normally have a relatively straightforward answer to inflation running almost twice its target: raise interest rates. But these are not normal circumstances. This time, the bond market is already doing part of the tightening for it, leaving the ECB facing an increasingly difficult dilemma.