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Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD seems vulnerable near 50 DMA, break below $20.00 awaited

  • Silver loses ground for the second straight day and slides to over a one-week low.
  • The downfall marks a bearish breakdown below a one-week-old trading range.
  • Bears still need to wait for a sustained break below $20.00 before placing fresh bets.

Silver witnesses selling for the second successive day on Tuesday and drops to over a one-week low, around the $20.00 psychological mark during the mid-European session.

The decline follows last week's failure near the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the $22.52-$18.15 downfall and marks a bearish break below a one-week-old trading range. Adding to this, acceptance below the 50% Fibo. level and the 50-day SMA supports prospects for a further depreciating move for the XAG/USD.

That said, oscillators on the daily chart - though have been losing traction - are yet to confirm the negative outlook. This makes it prudent to wait for sustained weakness below the $20.00 mark before placing fresh bearish bets and positioning for a subsequent slide below the 38.2% Fibo. level, around the $19.80 region.

The next relevant support is pegged near the $19.55 area (last week's swing low), which should now act as a key pivotal point. A convincing break below would shift the bias in favour of bearish traders and expose the 23.6% Fibo. level, around the $19.20-$19.15 region. The XAG/USD could eventually drop to the $19.00 mark.

On the flip side, the 50% Fibo. level, around the $20.35 region, now seems to act as immediate strong resistance. Any subsequent move up could attract fresh selling near the $20.65 horizontal zone. This, in turn, should keep a lid on any further gains for the XAG/USD near the 61.8% Fibo. level, around the $20.85 region.

Silver daily chart

fxsoriginal

Key levels to watch

XAG/USD

Overview
Today last price20.11
Today Daily Change-0.17
Today Daily Change %-0.84
Today daily open20.28
 
Trends
Daily SMA2019.75
Daily SMA5020.2
Daily SMA10021.7
Daily SMA20022.7
 
Levels
Previous Daily High20.88
Previous Daily Low20.09
Previous Weekly High20.84
Previous Weekly Low19.8
Previous Monthly High20.37
Previous Monthly Low18.15
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%20.39
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%20.58
Daily Pivot Point S119.95
Daily Pivot Point S219.63
Daily Pivot Point S319.17
Daily Pivot Point R120.74
Daily Pivot Point R221.2
Daily Pivot Point R321.52

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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