|

Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD could extend slide to $25 with a break below $26

  • Silver stays relatively quiet following Tuesday's sharp decline.
  • Next key support for XAG/USD aligns at $26.00.
  • Unless silver manages to hold above $27, sellers are likely to remain in control.

Following the three-day rally, during which silver prices rose by nearly 15%, the XAG/USD pair staged a deep correction and lost more than 8% on Tuesday. Although the pair stays relatively quiet on Wednesday, it doesn't look like it's about to turn north, once again. As of writing, XAG/USD was down 0.7% on a daily basis at $26.50.

Silver technical outlook

On the four-hour chart, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator is edging lower and stays around 40, suggesting that there is more room on the downside before the pair becomes technically oversold. Key support aligns at $26, where the 200 and 100 SMAs are located. With a decisive break below that level, the next target could be set at $25, the starting point of the latest upsurge. 

On the upside, the immediate resistance is located at $27, the Fibonacci 61.8% retracement level of the rally, ahead of $27.60 (Fibo 50% retracement). Unless silver manages to make a convincing break above $27, sellers are likely to remain in control of price action.

Additional levels to watch for

XAG/USD

Overview
Today last price26.56
Today Daily Change0.13
Today Daily Change %0.49
Today daily open26.43
 
Trends
Daily SMA2025.89
Daily SMA5025.36
Daily SMA10024.83
Daily SMA20022.92
 
Levels
Previous Daily High29.13
Previous Daily Low26.28
Previous Weekly High27.66
Previous Weekly Low24.7
Previous Monthly High27.92
Previous Monthly Low24.19
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%27.37
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%28.04
Daily Pivot Point S125.43
Daily Pivot Point S224.43
Daily Pivot Point S322.58
Daily Pivot Point R128.28
Daily Pivot Point R230.13
Daily Pivot Point R331.13

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7000 as RBA hike bets support amid softer USD

AUD/USD steadies above 0.7000 in Friday’s Asian session, stalling the overnight pullback from a one-month top as RBA rate-hike expectations act as a tailwind for the Aussie. Moreover, the US Dollar remains on the back foot amid hopes of Iran diplomacy, further supporting the currency pair. However, geopolitical risks and hawkish Fed expectations limit USD losses.

USD/JPY flatlines near 157.70 after hot Tokyo CPI as focus remains on BoJ

USD/JPY consolidates around 157.70 during the Asian session on Friday, moving little following the release of hot Tokyo CPI as focus remains on the highly anticipated BoJ rate decision. Meanwhile, upside remains capped as the US Dollar stays depressed amid the Euro's post-ECB rise. However, Thursday's US macro data reaffirmed Fed hike bets, which, along with geopolitical uncertainties, support the buck and the currency pair.

Gold falls to near $4,000 as US PCE data reinforces December Fed hike odds

Gold price falls to around $4,015 during the early Asian session on Friday. The precious metal loses ground as US inflation data reinforced expectations ‌of a Federal Reserve interest rate hike later this year.

Bank of Japan to leave interest rates steady at 1.25%

The Bank of Japan is set to announce its monetary policy decision on Friday at around 02:30 GMT. Like the Federal Reserve, financial markets are confident that the BoJ will leave interest rates unchanged, after raising them by 25 basis points to 1.25% in the September policy meeting. This is the highest interest rate level seen in 31 years in Japan.

Can Bitcoin rally if the Federal Reserve keeps rates higher for longer?

The US Federal Reserve raising interest rates in September after a three-year gap to control alarming inflation numbers renews the fear of reduced liquidity weighing on Bitcoin, similar to the 2022 bear market.

A hot US economy is supposed to sink Gold. It didn't. Here's why
Gold (XAU/USD) remains under pressure near $4,000, as stronger-than-expected United States (US) economic data reinforce expectations of another Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate hike in December. Economic growth is accelerating, inflation remains elevated, and borrowing costs could rise further.