|

Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD bounces off seven-week low on the way to $22.00

  • Silver prints corrective pullback from multiday low, bears keep reins.
  • Sustained break of 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, weekly resistance line join bearish MACD signals to favor sellers.
  • 50-DMA adds to the upside filters, yearly low can lure bears past $22.00.

Silver (XAG/USD) licks its wounds near the lowest levels since mid-October during the early Asian session on Tuesday. That said, the quote eyes to regain $23.00 by the press time.

The bright metal refreshed multi-day low the previous day after breaking the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement (Fibo.) of September-November downside. The corrective pullback could be linked to multiple supports marked since late August.

In addition to the stated key Fibo. level near $22.95, bearish MACD signals and sustained trading below the one-week-old descending trend line, as well as the 50-DMA, adds strength to the downside bias.

That said, further weakness may find multiple speed-breakers around $22.80 and $22.20 before testing the $22.00 level comprising September 22 bottom.

It should be noted, however, that the metal’s weakness past $22.00 will make it vulnerable to refresh yearly low, around $21.40 at the latest.

Meanwhile, an upside break of the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of $22.95 will push the XAG/USD prices towards the stated short-term resistance line near $23.15.

However, any further upside past $23.15 will be challenged by 50% Fibo. and 50-DMA levels surrounding $23.40 and $23.60 in that order.

Silver: Daily chart

Trend: Bearish

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price22.91
Today Daily Change-0.20
Today Daily Change %-0.87%
Today daily open23.11
 
Trends
Daily SMA2024.28
Daily SMA5023.56
Daily SMA10023.98
Daily SMA20025.22
 
Levels
Previous Daily High23.73
Previous Daily Low22.92
Previous Weekly High24.89
Previous Weekly Low22.92
Previous Monthly High24.83
Previous Monthly Low22
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%23.23
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%23.42
Daily Pivot Point S122.78
Daily Pivot Point S222.44
Daily Pivot Point S321.96
Daily Pivot Point R123.59
Daily Pivot Point R224.07
Daily Pivot Point R324.4

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD edges above 1.1750 due to ECB-Fed policy divergence

EUR/USD has recovered its recent losses registered in the previous session, trading around 1.1760 during the Asian hours on Friday. Traders will likely observe Germany’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index data later in the day.

GBP/USD gathers strength above 1.3450 on Fed rate cut bets, BoE's gradual policy path

The GBP/USD pair gathers strength to around 1.3480 during the early Asian session on Friday. Expectations of the US Federal Reserve rate cuts this year weigh on the US Dollar against the Pound Sterling. Philadelphia Fed President Anna Paulson is set to speak later on the weekend. 

Gold climbs to near $4,350 on Fed rate cut bets, geopolitical risks

Gold price rises to near $4,345 during the early Asian session on Friday. Gold finished 2025 with a significant rally, achieving an annual gain of around 65%, its biggest annual gain since 1979. The rally of the precious metal is bolstered by the prospect of further US interest rate cuts in 2026 and safe-haven flows.

Bitcoin trades in compression as 2026 begins with structure still unresolved

BTC/USD remains locked in a two-way structure, with micro supply-and-demand levels guiding early-year price behaviour.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).