|

Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD bears take breather near 61.8% Fibo. level around mid-$20.00s

  • Silver continues losing ground for the fourth straight day and refreshes the YTD low on Monday.
  • Oversold oscillators on the daily chart help the XAG/USD to find support near the 61.8% Fibo.
  • The setup still favours bearish traders and supports prospects for a further depreciating move.

Silver remains under some selling pressure for the fourth successive day and drops to a fresh YTD low during the first half of trading on Monday. The white metal currently trades just above the mid-$20.00s and seems vulnerable to prolonging the recent downfall witnessed since the beginning of this month.

Friday's convincing break and acceptance below a technically significant 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) adds credence to the negative outlook. That said, oscillators on the daily chart are flashing extremely oversold conditions, making it prudent to wait for some consolidation or a modest rebound before positioning for further losses.

Any attempted recovery, however, is more likely to meet with a fresh supply near the $21.00 mark. This, in turn, should cap the XAG/USD near the $21.30-$21.35 region, marking the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of the rally from October 2022. The latter should act as a pivotal point, which if cleared could prompt some near-term short-covering.

Bearish traders, meanwhile, take a breather near the 61.8% Fibo. level, below which the XAG/USD could accelerate the fall towards challenging the $20.00 psychological mark. The white metal could eventually drop to the $19.75-$19.70 intermediate support en route to the $19.15 horizontal zone and the $19.00 round-figure mark.

Silver daily chart

fxsoriginal

Key levels to watch

XAG/USD

Overview
Today last price20.66
Today Daily Change-0.10
Today Daily Change %-0.48
Today daily open20.76
 
Trends
Daily SMA2022.2
Daily SMA5023.14
Daily SMA10022.02
Daily SMA20021.01
 
Levels
Previous Daily High21.4
Previous Daily Low20.74
Previous Weekly High21.98
Previous Weekly Low20.74
Previous Monthly High24.55
Previous Monthly Low22.76
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%20.99
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%21.15
Daily Pivot Point S120.53
Daily Pivot Point S220.31
Daily Pivot Point S319.87
Daily Pivot Point R121.2
Daily Pivot Point R221.63
Daily Pivot Point R321.86

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD posts modest gains above 1.1700 as ECB signals pause

The EUR/USD pair posts modest gains around 1.1710 during the early Asian session on Monday. The Euro strengthens against the Greenback after the European Central Bank left its policy rates unchanged and took a more positive view on the Eurozone economy, which has shown resilience to global trade shocks. Financial markets are likely to remain subdued as traders book profits ahead of the long holiday period.

GBP/USD gains ground near 1.3400 ahead of UK Q3 GDP data

GBP/USD gains ground after three days of losses, trading around 1.3390 during the Asian hours on Monday. The pair depreciates as the Pound Sterling holds ground ahead of the release of the United Kingdom Gross Domestic Product for the third quarter.

Gold refreshes record highs, eyes $4,400 amid renewed geopolitical tensions

Gold is closing in on $4,400 early Monday, renewing lifetime highs, helped by renewed geopolitical tensions. Israel-Iran conflict and US-Venezuela headlines drive investors toward the traditional store of value, Gold. 

Week ahead: Key risks to watch in last days of 2025 and early 2026

The festive period officially starts next week, with many traders vacating their desks until the first full week of January, making way for thin trading volumes and very few top-tier releases.

De-dollarisation by design: Gold’s partner in the new system

You don’t need another 2008 for the system to reset. You just need enough nations to stop settling trade in dollars. And that’s already happening. "If gold is the anchor, what actually moves value in a post-dollar world?” It’s a question most gold investors overlook. We think in terms of storage and preservation, but in the new rails being built, settlement speed matters just as much as soundness of money.

XRP rebounds amid ETF inflows and declining retail demand demand

XRP rebounds as bulls target a short-term breakout above $2.00 on Friday. XRP ETFs record the highest inflow since December 8, signaling growing institutional appetite.