|

Silver bears are looking to engage again

  • Silver prices have been dented on US dollar strength.
  • Bears looking for downside extension from resistances.

XAG/USD is trading down nearly 2% on the day after falling from a high of $27.69 to a low of $27.01.

The US dollar is back on form with US Treasury yields that climbed on Wednesday.

The DXY index is up 0.65% trading near the highs of 90.7950. This has followed the 10-year note hitting its highest level in a month.

A much stronger than expected reading on consumer prices earlier have heightened worries the economy may be heading towards a sustained period of higher inflation.

Meanwhile, the US Labor Department said the consumer price index surged 0.8% in April, its largest rise since June 2009, after rising 0.6% in the prior month.

The "core" reading, which excludes the more volatile food and energy portions, jumped 0.9%. Expectations called for overall CPI to rise 0.2% and the core reading to climb 0.3%.

The yield on 10-year Treasury note climbed as high as 1.697%, its highest since April 13 and on pace for its biggest one-day basis point increase since March 18.

Precious markets will note that the US Federal Reserve has repeatedly stated that it views any inflation to be transitory in nature.

On the same day as the CPI data, the Fed's Vice Chair Richard Clarida said it will be "some time" before the US economy is healed enough for the Federal Reserve to consider pulling back its crisis levels of support and he expects the rise in prices to be temporary.

Silver technical analysis

The price has made a 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the prior daily bearish impulse. 

From this juncture, the bears could start to engage, but there is a note worth confluence of the 61.8% Fibo and prior support above which could well be tested by the bulls.

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD retreats toward 1.1700 on modest USD recovery

EUR/USD stays under mild bearish pressure and trades below 1.1750 on Friday. Although trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, the modest recovery seen in the US Dollar causes the pair to edge lower. The economic calendar will not feature any high-impact data releases.

GBP/USD struggles to gain traction, stabilizes near 1.3450

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades marginally lower on the day at around 1.3450 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold climbs toward $4,400 following deep correction

Gold advances toward $4,400 and gains more than 1.5% on the day after suffering heavy losses amid profit-taking heading into the end of the year. Growing expectations for a dovish Fed policy and persistent geopolitical risks seem to be helping XAU/USD stretch higher.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).