|

Scope for EUR/USD to test 1.10 in the near term – UOB

In opinion of FX Strategists at UOB Group, EUR/USD could attempt a move to 1.10 in the very near term.

Key Quotes

24-hour view: “We highlighted last Friday EUR “could retest the 1.1000 level” and added, “the next resistance at 1.1025 is unlikely to come into the picture”. EUR rose briefly during NY hours and touched 1.0997 before easing off quickly and subsequently traded mostly sideways. From here, the underlying tone still appears to be on the firm side but while EUR could edge above 1.1000, the next resistance at 1.1025 is still unlikely to be challenged. Support is at 1.0955 but only a move below 1.0935 would suggest the current mild upward pressure has eased”.

Next 1-3 weeks: “The consolidation phase that started last Thursday (03 Oct, spot at 1.0960) is still in the early stages and we continue to expect EUR to trade sideways for a while more. However, as highlighted last Friday (04 Oct, spot at 1.0970), looking forward, the top of the expected 1.0890/1.1025 range appears to be more ‘vulnerable’. To put it another way, if EUR were to register a NY closing above 1.1025, it would suggest last Monday’s (30 Sep) low of 1.0877 could be a more significant bottom than currently expected”.

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD weakens below 1.1750 on US Dollar rebound, Fed rate-cut expectations could cap losses

The EUR/USD pair retreats from a 10-week high to near 1.1735 during the early European session on Friday, pressured by a modest rebound in the US Dollar.  The potential downside for the major pair might be limited amid the prospect of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cuts next year. The final reading of the German Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices will be released later on Friday. 

When are the UK data releases and how could they affect GBP/USD?

The United Kingdom economic docket features the monthly Gross Domestic Product print for October and Industrial Production figures, to be published by the Office for National Statistics this Thursday at 07:00 GMT.

Gold retreats from multi-week top amid risk-on mood; downside seems limited

Gold edges lower during the Asian session on Friday and erodes a part of the previous day's strong gains, snapping a three-day winning streak to the $4,285-4,286 region, or the highest level since October 21. The prevalent risk-on environment – as depicted by a generally positive tone around the equity markets – is seen undermining demand for the safe-haven precious metal. 

Bitcoin and Ethereum eyes breakout, Ripple steadies at support

Bitcoin and Ethereum are nearing the key resistance levels at the time of writing on Friday, and a successful breakout could open the door for a fresh rally. Meanwhile, Ripple is stabilizing around a crucial support zone, hinting at a potential rebound if buyers maintain control.

FOMC Summary: A split cut and a clear shift toward caution

The Federal Reserve (Fed) went ahead with a 25 basis points rate cut, taking the target range to 3.50–3.75%. But the tone around the decision mattered just as much as the move.

Solana dips as hawkish Fed cuts dampen market sentiment
Solana (SOL) price is trading below $130 at the time of writing on Thursday, after being rejected at the upper boundary of its falling wedge pattern. The broader market weakness following the Federal Reserve’s hawkish rate cut has added to downside momentum.