RBI to cut rates by mid-year - Reuters poll

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) will change its stance to "neutral" and could cut interest rates in June at the latest, according to a Reuters poll of economists. 

A month ago, economists predicted rate hike cycle would begin next quarter. The outlook, however, has flipped following RBI Governor Urjit Patel's sudden resignation on Dec. 10. 

Key points (Source: Reuters)

  • RBI to keep repo rate on hold at 6.5 percent in Feb, change policy stance to 'neutral'. 
  • RB to cut repo rate by 25 basis points (bps) by mid-year to 6.25 percent vs the previous forecast of a 25 bps rate hike. 
  • India government 2018/19 fiscal deficit to be 3.5 percent of GDP; slightly higher than the government's target of 3.3 percent. 
  • Indian economy to grow 7.3 percent in FY 2019/20 vs the previous forecast of 7.6 percent. 
  • Uncertainty around the national election outcome is the biggest risk to the Indian economy. 

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers.

Feed news

Latest Forex News

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD rebounds after dismal US PMIs

EUR/USD is trading closer to 1.0850, rising in response to weak US PMIs, with the services one pointing to contraction. Earlier, German Manufacturing PMI beat estimates. 


GBP/USD advances to 1.2950 after US data

GBP/USD is trading around 1.2950, taking advantage of US weakness stemming from a downfall in Markit's Services PMI in the US. In Britain, the Manufacturing PMI exceeded estimates. 


Top 3 Price Prediction Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple: Consolidation process underway

The Crypto board continues to be immersed in an emotional leg-breaking, consistently punishing the emotional state of the traders with its continuous changes of direction.

Read more

XAU/USD unstoppable, breaks to fresh 2020 highs, approaching $1650/oz

XAU/USD is trading in an uptrend above its main daily simple moving averages (SMAs) while breaking above a bull channel. Gold is printing fresh 2020 highs hitting $1646.64 per ounce on an intraday basis.  

Gold News

FXStreet launches Real-Time Trading Signals

FXStreet Signals offers access to explanatory live webinars, real-time notifications when signals are triggered and exclusive membership to the company’s Telegram group, where users get direct guidance by our analysts and get room to discuss and interact.

More info