|

RBA FSR: Global financial stability risks are elevated and growing

In its bi-annual Financial Stability Review (FSR), the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) noted that “global financial stability risks are elevated and growing.”

Additional takeaways

Risks include China property sector, a disorderly fall in global asset prices, exposure to commercial real estate.

Tightening in global financial conditions could slow growth, lift unemployment.

Fall in global asset prices could raise funding costs in Australia, limit supply of credit.

Australian financial system sound, some pockets of stress among household borrowers.

Australian banks well capitalised, have low exposure to commercial property.

Banks well positioned to manage any increase in mortgage arrears, absorb loan losses.

Small, but rising share of households in early stages of financial stress.

Most borrowers well placed should interest rates rise further.

Most borrowers also well placed to cope with extended period of high rates.

Any increase in unemployment would add to stress, but unlikely to threaten system overall.

Risks posed by non-bank institutions in Australia remain low.

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD meets fresh supply and tests 0.7100 amid weak Australian PMIs

AUD/USD has come under fresh selling pressure and is testing 0.7100 in the Asian session on Wednesday. Australia's flash PMIs showed manufacturing slipped into contraction and services expanding slowly for a second straight month, renewing the pair's downside. Furthermore, a bullish US Dollar acts as a headwind for the pair as traders keenly await the crucial Trump-Xi summit on Thursday. Meanwhile, markets shrug off US-Iran indirect talks.

USD/JPY stands firm near mid-157.00s, close to two-week high

USD/JPY hovers around mid-157.00s in the Asian session on Wednesday, near two-week highs touched last Friday as the BoJ's dovish rate hike continues to undermine the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, the US Dollar remains firm amid the Fed's hawkish stance, adding support to the pair, though JPY intervention fears cap further gains. Markets pay little heed to the completion of the round of US-Iran indirect talks ahead of Trump-Xi meeting.

Gold: Bull-bear tug-of-war extends ahead of Trump-Xi meet

Gold has come under fresh selling pressure, struggling near $4,350 in Asia on Wednesday, retracing a part of the previous rebound from sub-$4,300 levels. Traders are refraining from placing fresh directional bets on the bullion ahead of the highly anticipated meeting between US President Donald Trump and his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping due later in the day.

Bitcoin steadies after strong rally, Ethereum and XRP ease into consolidation
Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and Ripple (XRP) bulls take a breather mid-week after gains of 6%, 4%, and 13% so far this week. BTC consolidates at $86,300, ETH hovers around $2,751, and XRP is at $1.57. The price action of these top three cryptocurrencies suggests bulls remain in control, although traders may have taken profits after the recent sharp rally.
AI capex enters the Fed's inflation case with October hike pricing past even money

AI capex enters the Fed's inflation case with October hike pricing past even money; UK headroom halved and French CDS at post-2020 wides before either budget lands; Pezeshkian in New York with a Gulf slot scheduled and no Iranian bilateral. Monday priced the same AI buildout at two completely different costs of capital.

BoJ Recap: Not as hawkish as expected

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) raised its short-term interest-rate target to 1.25% from 1.00% in a 7-2 vote, marking another step in the normalisation of monetary policy and widely matching what everyone has been expecting for weeks.