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Pound Sterling Price News and Forecast: GBP/USD falls to near 1.3100, again unable to hold above 21DMA

GBP/USD Weekly Forecast: Little hope for bulls, as focus shifts to Fed minutes

After charting a Doji candlestick in the previous week, sellers returned this week and left GBP/USD in close proximity to two-week lows of 1.3050. The divergent monetary policy outlooks between the US Fed and Bank of England (BOE) weighed heavily on the pair alongside a pause in the bond rout. Meanwhile, markets remained in a cautious mood amid a lack of progress in the Russia-Ukraine crisis and global growth concerns. Looking ahead, a quiet week on the economic data front will put the focus back on the Ukraine saga and the central banks’ expectationsRead more...

GBP/USD falls to near 1.3100, again unable to hold above 21DMA as strong US data supports Fed tightening bets

GBP/USD fell during US trade on Friday, as the US dollar strengthened versus the majority of its G10 counterparts following a strong official March labour market report and robust but also highly inflationary March ISM Manufacturing PMI survey release. To recap briefly, the US economy added 432K jobs, the unemployment rate dropped to 3.6% and wages grew at a pace of 5.6% YoY in March, while the headline ISM Manufacturing PMI index remained well in expansion territory, but the Price Paid subindex spiked to its highest levels since last July. The US dollar benefitted from a surge in US yields, particularly at the short-end of the curve. The bond market moves reflected a market interpreting Friday’s data strengthening the likelihood that the Fed opts to lift interest rates in 50 bps intervals in the coming quarters, and as more Fed policymakers indicated their openness to these larger rate moves.  Read more...

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.3113
Today Daily Change-0.0023
Today Daily Change %-0.18
Today daily open1.3136
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3137
Daily SMA501.3356
Daily SMA1001.3386
Daily SMA2001.3564
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3176
Previous Daily Low1.3106
Previous Weekly High1.3299
Previous Weekly Low1.312
Previous Monthly High1.3438
Previous Monthly Low1.3
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3149
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3132
Daily Pivot Point S11.3103
Daily Pivot Point S21.3069
Daily Pivot Point S31.3033
Daily Pivot Point R11.3172
Daily Pivot Point R21.3209
Daily Pivot Point R31.3242

GBP/USD Forecast: Further losses likely with a drop below 1.3100

GBP/USD has struggled to make a decisive move in either direction on Thursday and has started to edge lower in the early European session on Friday. The pair is closing in on 1.3100 support and the bearish pressure could increase in case that level fails. Escalating geopolitical tensions on Russia's decision to force buyers to pay for Russian gas in roubles forced investors to seek refuge late Thursday. Moreover, Russian forces are reportedly relocating and reorganising rather than pulling back, reviving concerns over a prolonged military conflict. Read more...

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FXStreet Team

Composed of a group of economic journalists and FX experts, the FXStreet content team produces and oversees all content published on FXStreet. It provides a purely journalistic approach to the Forex market.

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The inflation narrative is still way more important than the employment story
Core bonds sold off yesterday with the belly of the curve slightly underperforming in the US while European curves showed more of a bear flattening. Daily changes on the US curve varied between +4.7 bps (2-yr) and +6.4 bps (7-yr).
9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?
The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.