|

Political gridlock in Italy it is; election polls point to hung parliament

It looks like political gridlock in Italy as none of the coalitions or parties have been able to reach the 40 percent of votes needed to gain a majority in Rome.

Italis 5 Star will be the largest single party according to the exit polls and looks like it gets the biggest share of votes, around 30% for the lower house and similar in the upper house, between 33%-36%.

Possible scenarios to choose from here?

Experts have explained that it would be unlikely to see a coalition involving PD, Luigi Di Maio’s Five Star Movement and right-wing Liberi e Uguali. An  easier option might be to have the parties creating a large government coalition. If the elected leaders weren’t able to find an agreement, Italian President Sergio Mattarella would then have to adopt another solution.  However, party leaders had hinted at the potential post-election coalition that could be formed should nobody be able to gain a majority.

Meanwhile, the euro is catching a bid as traders prefer to acknowledge the positive news from German politics with  SPD members who had approved a coalition with Merkel's CDU/CSU over the weekend with a vote of 66.02%, (78.3% of SPD members participated in the vote).

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD extends losses toward 1.3200 on broad USD strength

GBP/USD declines toward 1.3200 in the second half of the day on Tuesday. Political uncertainty in the United Kingdom weighs on the British Pound, alongside weak business PMI data for June. Meanwhile, the US Dollar capitalizes on the risk-off mood and stronger-than-forecast PMI readings, making it difficult for the pair to find its footing.

EUR/USD falls to fresh 12-month low below 1.1400

EUR/USD comes under renewed selling pressure in the second half of the day on Tuesday and trades at its lowest level since June 2025 below 1.1400. Mixed PMI data from Germany and the Eurozone makes it difficult for the Euro to find demand, while the risk-averse market atmosphere and the upbeat PMI prints support the USD, forcing the pair to stay on the back foot.

Gold drops to nearly two-week low, tests $4,100

Gold (XAU/USD) turns south following Monday's rebound and trades deep in the red near $4,100 on Tuesday. Despite positive signals from US-Iran peace talks, widespread skepticism remains toward a final deal and weighs on the precious metal. In the meantime, the USD gathers strength on hawkish Fed expectations and drags XAU/USD lower.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP slide as capital outflows persist

The cryptocurrency market is experiencing broad-based declines on Tuesday, as Bitcoin retests support at $62,000, Ethereum extends losses toward $1,600, and Ripple remains anchored near the key $1.10 demand zone.

Will PCE inflation data fuel bets of early Fed rate hike?

Warsh’s hawkish debut sparks sharp repricing in Fed funds futures. Inflation is front and centre as September hike now seen likely. Will PCE report due Thursday, 12:30 GMT, support the hawkish bets?

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.