|

Oil: All about supply and demand – Deutsche Bank

One of the more remarkable moments in financial history was seen yesterday and that is a deeply negative oil price, that is paying someone to take delivery, economists at Deutsche Bank apprise.

Key quotes

“The May contract for WTI, which started the day at $17.85, traded at -$39.55 at one point and in negative territory for a total of about six hours before popping back to $1.43 this morning. This move is all about supply and demand. American energy users and refiners do not have the storage capacity given all that is going on.”

“According to our colleague Michael Hsueh, the fact that June is currently still trading $21 per barrel should not be seen as a guarantee that this sort of price action could not happen again upon June's expiry if demand hasn't increased over the next 2 months.”

“Even prior to the move lower on WTI, lower quality runs of crude were near to or in negative territory, with Wyoming Asphalt Sour, a landlocked stream with higher associated costs than WTI, traded at negative 19 cents a barrel last month.”

Author

More from FXStreet Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds above 1.1750 after mixed EU PMI data

EUR/USD manages to hold above 1.1750 but struggles to gather recovery momentum on Friday, following the mixed February PMI figures from Germany and the Eurozone. In the second half of the day, Q4 GDP, December inflation and February PMI data from the US will be watched closely by market participants.

GBP/USD recovers further toward 1.3500 after UK PMI data

GBP/USD is recovering ground further toward 1.3500 in European trading on Friday, helped by a modest uptick in the Pound Sterling after stronger-than-expected UK January Retail Sales and February PMI data. However, the pair's further upside could be limited amid persistent US Dollar strength as the focus turns to key US data. 

Gold sticks to positive bias above $5,000 ahead of US data

Gold gains some positive traction for the third consecutive day on Friday. holding above $5,000. Traders now look forward to the key US macro releases – the Advance Q4 GDP report and the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index – for fresh trading impetus. 

US GDP growth expected to slow down significantly in Q4 after stellar Q3 

The United States Bureau of Economic Analysis will publish the first preliminary estimate of the fourth-quarter Gross Domestic Product at 13:30 GMT. Analysts forecast the US economy to have expanded at a 3% annualized rate, slowing down from the 4.4% growth posted in the previous quarter.

Iran tensions and AI fears at the forefront ahead of key US data

Thursday’s scorecard shows major US Stock benchmarks closed modestly in the red amid mounting US-Iran tensions and AI disruption worries. The S&P 500 shed 19 points (0.3%) to 6,861, the Nasdaq 100 lost 101 points (0.4%) to 24,797, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 267 points (0.5%) to 49,395.

Official Trump price approaches breakout with mixed signals from traders

Official Trump (TRUMP) is trading at $3.50 at the time of writing, approaching its upper consolidation range. A breakout from this range could open the door for an upside move. On-chain data shows market indecision, with balanced flows between bulls and bears, signaling a lack of clear directional bias.