|

NZD/USD rises as markets digest US economic activity and labor market data

  • The NZD/USD trades positively at 0.6193 with a 0.20% gain in Thursday's session.
  • The US S&P Global PMIs from February came in mixed.
  • Weekly Initial Jobless Claims from the US came in positive.
  • If markets continue to bet on a more aggressive Fed the pair’s upside could be limited.

In Thursday's trading, the NZD/USD pair has exhibited minor advancements, currently trading at the level of 0.6193, with a slight increase.

On the data front, the US S&P Global Composite PMI declined to 51.4 in February's flash estimate from 52 in January, showing that the business activity in the US private sector continued to expand, albeit at a softer pace than in January. The Manufacturing PMI improved to 51.5 from 50.7 in the same period, while the S&P Global Services PMI edged lower to 51.3 from 52.5. In addition, Initial Jobless Claims from the week ending in February 16, came in lower than expected, further echoing the resilience of the US economy.

Despite the losses, the Greenback’s losses may be limited as incoming data may reaffirm the Federal Reserve’s stance to hold rates steady and delay the start of the easing cycle  the economy doesn't show signs of cooling down. As for now, markets have practically given up on the odds of a cut in March and bet on low possibilities of the easing to start in May and instead, they push the first cut to June.

NZD/USD technical analysis

The daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently occupies a position within the positive territory, having gradually ascended from the negative area over consecutive trading sessions. A steadily increasing RSI implies that we may be experiencing a strengthening buyer dominance within the market.

Furthermore, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram is signaling bullish momentum from a series of rising green bars. Taken together, these metrics suggest an increased buying pressure for the NZD/USD pair over current trading.

NZD/USD daily chart

Author

Patricio Martín

Patricio is an economist from Argentina passionate about global finance and understanding the daily movements of the markets.

More from Patricio Martín
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD drops to daily lows near 1.1630

EUR/USD now loses some traction and slips back to the area of daily lows around 1.1630 on the back of a mild bounce in the US Dollar. Fresh US data, including the September PCE inflation numbers and the latest read on December consumer sentiment, didn’t really move the needle, so the pair is still on course to finish the week with a respectable gain.

GBP/USD trims gains, recedes toward 1.3320

GBP/USD is struggling to keep its daily advance, coming under fresh pressure and retreating to the 1.3320 zone following a mild bullish attempt in the Greenback. Even though US consumer sentiment surprised to the upside, the US Dollar isn’t getting much love, as traders are far more interested in what the Fed will say next week.

Gold makes a U-turn, back to $4,200

Gold is now losing the grip and receding to the key $4,200 region per troy ounce following some signs of life in the Greenback and a marked bounce in US Treasury yields across the board. The positive outlook for the precious metal, however, remains underpinned by steady bets for extra easing by the Fed.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP pare gains despite increasing hopes of upcoming Fed rate cut

Bitcoin is steadying above $91,000 at the time of writing on Friday. Ethereum remains above $3,100, reflecting positive sentiment ahead of the Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy meeting on December 10.

Week ahead – Rate cut or market shock? The Fed decides

Fed rate cut widely expected; dot plot and overall meeting rhetoric also matter. Risk appetite is supported by Fed rate cut expectations; cryptos show signs of life. RBA, BoC and SNB also meet; chances of surprises are relatively low.

Ripple faces persistent bear risks, shrugging off ETF inflows

Ripple is extending its decline for the second consecutive day, trading at $2.06 at the time of writing on Friday. Sentiment surrounding the cross-border remittance token continues to lag despite steady inflows into XRP spot ETFs.