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NZD/USD review: tracking NZD/JPY cross, focus on today's close

  • NZD/USD is the mercy of the action in the NZD/JPY ahead of looming US tariff deadline.
  • A close today above 0.6616 (previous day's high) would confirm a bullish reversal.

The NZD/USD pair is taking cues from the action in the NZD/JPY cross as the anti-risk JPY has taken a center stage ahead of Trump's China tariff decision.

At press time, the NZD/USD is flat lined on the day at 0.6588, having hit a low of 0.6573 earlier today and could soon rise above 0.66 as the NZD/JPY is recovering losses.

The JPY cross fell to 72.75 earlier today, the lowest level since Aug. 16, as the anti-risk Japanese currency picked up a bid on escalating US-China trade tensions - the Trump administration is likely to impose a fresh set of duties on $200bn (£155bn) of Chinese goods later today, having levied 25% tariffs on $50 billion worth of Chinese exports in July.

The NZD/JPY could revisit the session low of 72.57 and may drop to fresh multi-month lows below the Aug. 13 low of 72.35, dragging the NZD/USD lower with it if the US imposes new tariffs.

On the other hand, a surprise delay could put a bid under the NZD/USD, although only a daily close above the previous day's high of 0.6616 would confirm a bullish RSI divergence and open the doors to a stronger corrective rally.

Daily chart

NZD/USD Technical Levels

Resistance: 0.6620 (Aug. 24 low), 0.6688 (July 3 low), 0.6713 (50-day moving average)

Support: 0.6572 (support on the hourly chart), 0.6530 (Sep. 4 low), 0.65 (psychological level)

 TREND INDEXOB/OS INDEXVOLATILY INDEX
15MBearishNeutral High
1HStrongly BearishNeutral Shrinking
4HStrongly BearishNeutral Low
1DBullishNeutral Low
1WBearishNeutral Low

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

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