|

NZD/USD Price Analysis: Struggles to extend the bounce off 0.6370 support confluence

  • NZD/USD seesaws around intraday high, remains indecisive on a day.
  • Convergence of 50-SMA, one-week-old ascending trend appears a tough nut crack for bears.
  • Bulls need validation from 0.6420 to retake control.

NZD/USD takes rounds to 0.6390 during early Tuesday as the Kiwi pair traders await more clues to extend the latest recovery from the key support confluence. In doing so, the quote highlights the market’s cautious mood ahead of the United States inflation numbers for November, namely the Consumer Price Index (CPI).

Although NZD/USD snapped a three-day uptrend the previous day, the bears couldn’t conquer a convergence of the 50-bar Simple Moving Average (SMA) and a one-week-old ascending support line, around 0.6370.

The pair’s rebound, however, battles with the bearish MACD signals to challenge the NZD/USD buyers. Also challenging the Kiwi pair’s upside momentum could be the downward-sloping resistance line from December 05, close to 0.6420 by the press time.

In a case where the NZD/USD remains firmer past 0.6420, the odds of witnessing a run-up to refresh the monthly high surrounding 0.6475-80 can’t be ruled out.

On the flip side, a clear break of the 0.6370 support confluence could quickly fetch the quote towards the previous weekly low near the 0.6300 round figure.

However, the 100-SMA and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the NZD/USD pair’s November 28 to December 01 upside, respectively near 0.6290 and 0.6280, could challenge the bears afterward.

NZD/USD: Four-hour chart

Trend: Limited upside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price0.6389
Today Daily Change0.0003
Today Daily Change %0.05%
Today daily open0.6386
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6261
Daily SMA500.5967
Daily SMA1000.6035
Daily SMA2000.6278
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6423
Previous Daily Low0.6365
Previous Weekly High0.6444
Previous Weekly Low0.6302
Previous Monthly High0.6314
Previous Monthly Low0.5741
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6387
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6401
Daily Pivot Point S10.636
Daily Pivot Point S20.6334
Daily Pivot Point S30.6303
Daily Pivot Point R10.6418
Daily Pivot Point R20.6449
Daily Pivot Point R30.6475

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD slumps below 1.1800 on hawkish Fed Minutes, eyes on ECB succession

The EUR/USD pair tumbles to a near two-week low around 1.1785 during the early Asian session on Thursday. The US Dollar strengthens against the Euro on hawkish FOMC minutes that revived speculation about potential interest rate hikes if inflation remains elevated. 

GBP/USD extends decline as weak jobs data bolsters BoE rate cut bets

The Pound Sterling continued to backslide under sustained pressure on Wednesday, following through after the UK employment report on Tuesday showed a labour market deteriorating faster than expected. 

Gold rises above $4,950 as US-Iran tensions boost safe-haven demand

Gold price holds positive ground near $4,985 during the early Asian session on Thursday. The precious metal recovers amid shifts in geopolitical sentiment, boosting safe-haven demand. Traders will keep an eye on the release of US Initial Jobless Claims,  Pending Home Sales data, and the Fedspeak later on Thursday. 

Australia unemployment rate set to edge up within overall strong labor market

The Australian monthly employment report is scheduled for release on Thursday at 00:30 GMT, and market participants anticipate a modest increase in jobs in January. The Australian Bureau of Statistics is expected to announce that the country added 20K new jobs in the month, while the Unemployment Rate is forecast at 4.2%, up from the 4.1% posted in December.

Mixed UK inflation data no gamechanger for the Bank of England

Food inflation plunged in January, but service sector price pressure is proving stickier. We continue to expect Bank of England rate cuts in March and June. The latest UK inflation read is a mixed bag for the Bank of England, but we doubt it drastically changes the odds of a March rate cut.

Sui extends sideways action ahead of Grayscale’s GSUI ETF launch

Sui is extending its downtrend for the second consecutive day, trading at 0.95 at the time of writing on Wednesday. The Layer-1 token is down over 16% in February and approximately 34% from the start of the year, aligning with the overall bearish sentiment across the crypto market.