NZD/USD Price Analysis: Kiwi drops from 0.6400 amid ease in risk-on mood

Investors are awaiting the speech from Fed Powell for fresh impetus.
A Double Bottom formation signifies a responsive buying action after a weak selling interest around the previous cushion.
A bull cross, represented by the 20-and 50-period EMAs at 0.6300, adds to the upside filters.

Sagar Dua FXStreet

The NZD/USD pair has corrected to near 0.6370 after sensing selling pressure near the round-level resistance of 0.6400 in the Asian session. The Kiwi asset is likely to remain on the tenterhooks as investors are awaiting the speech from Federal Reserve (Fed) chair Jerome Powell for fresh impetus.

Meanwhile, the risk impulse is quite confusing as S&P500 futures are recovering after dropping sharply in the early Asian session. Also, the alpha generated by 10-year Treasury yields has accelerated to near 3.55%.

A formation of a Double Bottom chart pattern around 0.6200 on a four-hour scale resulted in a firmer rally in NZD/USD. Usually, the chart pattern signifies a responsive buying action after a weak selling interest on previous support levels by the market participants.

A bull cross, represented by the 20-and 50-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) at 0.6300, adds to the upside filters. Also, the 200-EMA at 0.6277 has acted as a cushion for the New Zealand Dollar.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) is trying hard to keep oscillation in the bullish range of 60.00-80.00 as it will maintain strength in the US Dollar.

After a firmer rally, it is highly likely that the Kiwi asset will test the critical support placed from January 4 high around 0.6350, which will trigger a bargain buy opportunity and will drive the major towards Monday’s high at 0.6412 followed by the psychological resistance at 0.6500.

On the contrary, a break below December 22 low at 0.6230 will expose the Kiwi asset for more downside toward November 28 low at 0.6155. A slippage below the latter will drag the asset further to near November 21 low at 0.6087.

NZD/USD four-hour chart

NZD/USD

Overview
Today last price	0.6378
Today Daily Change	0.0006
Today Daily Change %	0.09
Today daily open	0.6372

Trends
Daily SMA20	0.6329
Daily SMA50	0.6224
Daily SMA100	0.6042
Daily SMA200	0.6222

Levels
Previous Daily High	0.6412
Previous Daily Low	0.632
Previous Weekly High	0.6363
Previous Weekly Low	0.619
Previous Monthly High	0.6514
Previous Monthly Low	0.623
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	0.6377
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	0.6355
Daily Pivot Point S1	0.6324
Daily Pivot Point S2	0.6275
Daily Pivot Point S3	0.6231
Daily Pivot Point R1	0.6416
Daily Pivot Point R2	0.646
Daily Pivot Point R3	0.6509

Author

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

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