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NZD/USD Price Analysis: Drops back to 0.6100 within monthly bearish channel

  • NZD/USD fades bounce off the lowest levels since late November 2022 inside one-month-old descending trend channel.
  • Failure to cross previous support line from early January, bearish MACD signals keep sellers hopeful.
  • Recovery remains elusive below 200-SMA, 0.6215-20 acts as an additional upside filter.

NZD/USD retreat towards the multi-day low marked the previous day while staying with a one-month-old descending trend channel, pressured around 0.6105 during the early Thursday morning in the Asia-Pacific zone.

In doing so, the Kiwi pair portrays the inability to cross the two-month-long previous support line, now immediate resistance near 0.6130. Adding strength to the downside bias are the bearish MACD signals.

It’s worth noting, however, that the lower line of the aforementioned bearish channel, around 0.6070 by the press time, as well as the lows marked during mid-November 2022 near 0.6060, can act as crucial supports to watch during the NZD/USD pair’s further downside.

Should the Kiwi pair remains bearish past 0.6060, the odds of witnessing a slump toward the 0.6000 psychological magnet can’t be ruled out.

Alternatively, recovery moves remain elusive unless the quote stays below the support-turned-resistance line near 0.6130.

Even so, a convergence of the 100-SMA and the stated channel’s top line, close to 0.6215-20 at the latest, will be important for the NZD/USD buyers to break before retaking control.

Above all, the Kiwi pair remains on the bear’s radar unless it successfully trades above the 200-SMA hurdle surrounding 0.6315.

NZD/USD: Four-hour chart

Trend: Further downside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price0.6107
Today Daily Change-0.0007
Today Daily Change %-0.11%
Today daily open0.6114
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6243
Daily SMA500.6332
Daily SMA1000.6227
Daily SMA2000.6174
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6223
Previous Daily Low0.6103
Previous Weekly High0.6277
Previous Weekly Low0.6131
Previous Monthly High0.6538
Previous Monthly Low0.6131
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6149
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6177
Daily Pivot Point S10.607
Daily Pivot Point S20.6027
Daily Pivot Point S30.595
Daily Pivot Point R10.619
Daily Pivot Point R20.6267
Daily Pivot Point R30.631

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

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