|

NZD/USD Price Analysis: Bulls run out of steam as key EMAs test upside near 0.6250

  • NZD/USD struggles to extend three-day uptrend near the highest levels in a fortnight.
  • 100, 200 EMAs restrict immediate upside even as trend line breakout, bullish MACD signals favor buyers.
  • The four-month-old horizontal area is the key downside support.

NZD/USD seesaws around 0.6235-30 during the early Wednesday morning in Asia-Pacific as bulls jostle with the key Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) to extend the three-day uptrend.

It should be noted, however, that the Kiwi pair’s latest run-up could be linked to a clear U-turn from the four-month-old horizontal support zone, around 0.6090-80, as well as clear upside break of the downward-sloping resistance line, now immediate support close to 0.6175.

Apart from the aforementioned catalysts, the bullish MACD signals also favor the NZD/USD upside.

However, the 100-day EMA precedes the 200-day EMA to restrict the immediate upside of the Kiwi pair near 0.6240 and 0.6265 in that order.

Should the quote manages to remain firmer past 0.6265, the odds of witnessing a quick run-up toward the 0.6300 threshold appear bright.

Following that, the mid-February swing high, close to 0.6390, holds the key to the NZD/USD bull’s further dominance towards poking February’s high near 0.6540.

Alternatively, a downside break of the resistance-turned-support near 0.6175 could lure the NZD/USD bears. Though, a sustained break of the horizontal area comprising multiple lows marked since November, near 0. 6090-80, will be necessary to push back the buyers.

Overall, NZD/USD is likely to rise further but the EMAs hold the gate for bulls.

NZD/USD: Daily chart

Trend: Further upside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price0.6237
Today Daily Change0.0017
Today Daily Change %0.27%
Today daily open0.622
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6206
Daily SMA500.6317
Daily SMA1000.6245
Daily SMA2000.6167
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6265
Previous Daily Low0.6131
Previous Weekly High0.6226
Previous Weekly Low0.6084
Previous Monthly High0.6538
Previous Monthly Low0.6131
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6214
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6182
Daily Pivot Point S10.6145
Daily Pivot Point S20.6071
Daily Pivot Point S30.6011
Daily Pivot Point R10.628
Daily Pivot Point R20.6339
Daily Pivot Point R30.6414

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD retreats toward 1.1700 on modest USD recovery

EUR/USD stays under mild bearish pressure and trades below 1.1750 on Friday. Although trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, the modest recovery seen in the US Dollar causes the pair to edge lower. The economic calendar will not feature any high-impact data releases.

GBP/USD struggles to gain traction, stabilizes near 1.3450

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades marginally lower on the day at around 1.3450 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold climbs toward $4,400 following deep correction

Gold advances toward $4,400 and gains more than 1.5% on the day after suffering heavy losses amid profit-taking heading into the end of the year. Growing expectations for a dovish Fed policy and persistent geopolitical risks seem to be helping XAU/USD stretch higher.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).