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NZD/USD Price Analysis: Bulls prepare for an impulsive wave, 0.6160 a key hurdle

  • Investors brace for a breakout of an Ascending Triangle for a sheer upside.
  • A golden cross, represented by 50-and 200-EMAs at 0.6100, adds to the upside filters.
  • The upside momentum will get triggered if the RSI (14) recaptures the 60.00-80.00 range.

The NZD/USD pair is displaying back-and-forth moves in a narrow range of 0.6132-0.6140 in the early Tokyo session ahead of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. The asset displayed exhaustion signals on Monday after failing to sustain above the prior week’s high at 0.6152. Broadly, the asset is advancing sharply higher after printing a fresh two-year low around 0.6000 last week.

On an hourly scale, the major is on the verge of delivering a breakout of the Ascending Triangle chart pattern. The upward sloping trendline of the above-mentioned chart pattern is placed from Friday’s low at 0.6031 while the horizontal resistance is plotted from August 31 high at 0.6160. A breakout of the bullish-bias triangle pattern will expand volatility and will display wider ticks and heavy volume.

A golden cross, represented by the 50-and 200-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) at 0.6100, has underpinned the kiwi bulls against the greenback.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has slipped below the bullish range of 60.00-80.00, which warrants a mild correction so that more participants could ride with the impulsive wave.

Should the asset break above Monday’s high at 0.6159 decisively, the antipodean will drive the asset towards August 25 high at 0.6252. A breach of the latter will send the major towards the round-level hurdle at 0.6300.

On the flip side, the kiwi bulls could lose their grip if the asset drops below September 2 low at 0.6050. An occurrence of the same will drag the asset towards the psychological support at 0.6000, followed by 20 April 2020 low at 0.5910.

NZD/USD hourly chart

NZD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6138
Today Daily Change0.0032
Today Daily Change %0.52
Today daily open0.6106
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.617
Daily SMA500.6212
Daily SMA1000.6303
Daily SMA2000.6543
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6153
Previous Daily Low0.6046
Previous Weekly High0.6153
Previous Weekly Low0.5996
Previous Monthly High0.647
Previous Monthly Low0.6101
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6112
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6086
Daily Pivot Point S10.605
Daily Pivot Point S20.5994
Daily Pivot Point S30.5943
Daily Pivot Point R10.6158
Daily Pivot Point R20.6209
Daily Pivot Point R30.6265

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
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