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NZD/USD Price Analysis: Bears lose some claws as the pair manages to recoup losses

  • Despite declining below the 20-day SMA, the NZD/USD recovers some losses to stabilize at 0.6140.
  • Short-term outlook remains bearish, but seller momentum isn’t that strong..
  • Bulls must recover the 20-day SMA at 0.61450.

On Tuesday, the NZD/USD extended its decline, initially dropping to 0.6095, but managed to pare the majority of its losses by the end of the trading day. Buyers staged a comeback, pushing the pair back towards 0.6140. However, the short-term outlook still leans towards the downside, but the day's recovery is a positive sign for the pair.

According to the daily chart, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 53 suggests a neutral situation. This implies that the market is neither overbought nor oversold, providing some room for upward movement if the buying pressures can keep the momentum. However, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) continues to print red bars, which confirms the presence of the sellers.

NZD/USD daily chart

For the NZD/USD, the immediate support resides at 0.6100. Deeper support is available at the convergence of the 100-day and 200-day SMAs at 0.6069 and 0.6062 respectively, which can provide a solid footing for the pair in case of an extended downside move. A break below these SMA convergence points could point towards a huge sell signal.

In contrast, the pair's main resistance remains around the 20-day SMA at 0.6145 and above at the recent high at the 0.6220 level. A breakout above this consolidation range could be interpreted as a buy signal, suggesting the current bearish sentiment could be coming to an end.

NZD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6147
Today Daily Change0.0015
Today Daily Change %0.24
Today daily open0.6132
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6143
Daily SMA500.6048
Daily SMA1000.607
Daily SMA2000.6062
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6141
Previous Daily Low0.6104
Previous Weekly High0.6222
Previous Weekly Low0.6099
Previous Monthly High0.6171
Previous Monthly Low0.5875
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6118
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6127
Daily Pivot Point S10.611
Daily Pivot Point S20.6089
Daily Pivot Point S30.6073
Daily Pivot Point R10.6147
Daily Pivot Point R20.6163
Daily Pivot Point R30.6184

Author

Patricio Martín

Patricio is an economist from Argentina passionate about global finance and understanding the daily movements of the markets.

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