|

NZD/USD Price Analysis: Bears in charge and eye 0.6250

  • DXY downside is playing into the hands of the bearish NZD/USD thesis.
  • NZD/USD bears stay in control below the counter trendline. 

As explained in the prior analysis, NZD/USD Price Analysis: Bears eye a break of 0.6300, the bears now need to stay below 0.6300 and the critical counter trendline.

NZD/USD daily chart

We have a possible downside continuation for the rest of the year on the cards with 0.6250 eyed. This ties in with the bearish bias in the US Dollar:

DXY has been pressured below the 104 mark on Wednesday but is holding losses after the Bank of Japan unexpectedly raised the upper limit of its tolerance band on 10-year government bonds to 0.5% from 0.25%.

However, an upcoming recession could keep the Federal Reserve from holding interest rates at higher levels in the FOMC’s projections last week to tame inflation, supporting the greenback and playing into the hands of the bearish NZD/USD thesis

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD sits near a one-month top, above 0.7000 amid fresh USD selling

AUD/USD holds above 0.7000 through the Asian session, trading near a one-month high touched earlier this Monday amid renewed US Dollar selling. US bond yields decline further amid a modest pullback in crude oil prices, capping the USD recovery from a three-week low. Moreover, bets for a November RBA rate hike support the Aussie, though upside seems capped ahead of the crucial two-day FOMC meeting, starting Tuesday.

USD/JPY struggles below 157.00 on weak USD; holds above one-month low ahead of Fed, BoJ meetings

USD/JPY attracts fresh sellers during the Asian session on Monday, stalling its recovery from the lowest level since September 18, touched Friday as a further decline in US bond yields weighs on the US Dollar. Meanwhile, the Japanese Yen benefits from a more hawkish BoJ, further weighing on the currency pair. The downside, however, seems limited as traders keenly await Fed and BoJ policy meetings later this week.

Gold consolidates near $4,000 as recovery remains fragile ahead of Fed decision

Gold (XAU/USD) consolidates modest gains on Monday after last week’s sharp decline pushed the metal to $3,975, its lowest level since August. A pullback in Oil prices offers support as traders react to diplomatic efforts to ease tensions in the Middle East.

Bitcoin stalls around $80,000 as geopolitical tensions dampen risk appetite

Bitcoin hovers around $80,500 on Monday after three straight weeks of correction. Rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continue to push oil prices higher, stoking inflation concerns and dampening risk appetite.

Flight to safety meets a high earnings bar as central bank week begins

The final full week of October is upon us, and it is a busy one. The focus will be on updates from the five major central banks – the RBNZ, BoC, Fed, ECB, and BoJ – the UK Autumn Budget, Australian inflation, and a stretch of Q3 earnings, with a whopping 36% of S&P 500 companies reporting.

What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.