|

NZD/USD loses momentum ahead of 0.68, sticks to modest daily gains

  • Upbeat Chinese data boosts the demand for AUD and NZD on Monday.
  • US data helps the DXY retrace a small portion of daily losses.

The NZD/USD pair started the week on a positive note and recovered a part of last week's losses as the strong macroeconomic data releases from China helped the NZD gather strength. After touching a daily high at 0.6793, the pair lost its traction in the early NA session and was last seen trading at 0.6780, where it was still up 0.2% on the day. 

The real-GDP worth in China, New Zealand's biggest trading partner, came in at 1.8% on a quarterly basis in the second quarter following first quarter's 1.4% and surpassed the market expectation of 1.6%. Furthermore, retail sales expanded by 9% on a yearly basis in June following May's 8.5%.

In the second half of the day, the US Dollar Index, which edged down to 94.15 on Monday, found some buying interest following the data releases from the United States and rose to 94.30, where it was still down 0.15% on the day. The U.S. Census Bureau today reported that retail sales in June increased by 0.5% to $508.6 billion to match the market consensus. The Empire State Manufacturing Index, meanwhile, eased to 22.6 in July from 25 in June but surpassed the experts' estimate of 22.

Technical outlook

The RSI indicator on the daily chart rose toward the 50 mark, suggesting that the bearish momentum is losing strength. On the upside, the initial resistance for the pair aligns at 0.6795/0.6800 (daily high/20-DMA/psychological level), 0.6855 (Jul. 9 high) and 0.6895/0.6900 (50-DMA/psychological level). Supports could be seen at 0.6750 (Jul. 15 low), 0.6685 (Jul. 2 low) and 0.6600 (psychological level).

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD loses momentum, flirts with 1.3200

GBP/USD is struggling to maintain its positive bias on Thursday, retreating toward the 1.3200 region in response to the pick in the buying interest around the Greenback. That said, Cable remains under scrutiny as cautious market sentiment keeps investors focused on the US-Iran conflict and political effervescence in the UK.

EUR/USD trims gains, challenges 1.1400

EUR/USD now gives away part of its earlier advance, receding toward the 1.1400 contention zone on Thursday. Meanwhile, the pair’s recovery comes amid extra losses in the US Dollar, at the time when while investors continue to monitor developments in the Middle East and sentiment surrounding global technology stocks.

Gold remains bid and close to $4,100

Gold accelerates its recovery and approaches the key $4,000 mark per troy ounce at the end of the week, adding to Thursday’s advance. However, expectations for a hawkish Fed remain steady and keep the yellow metal’s potential upside contained.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin at $60,000, Ethereum at $1,500, and XRP at $1 face a make-or-break test

Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and Ripple (XRP) are trading in the red on Friday after three consecutive days of losses, testing their respective make-or-break support levels.

Week ahead – NFP report to challenge Dollar strength and the hawkish Fed

Dollar strength dominates markets, as the hawkish Fed overshadows geopolitics and lower oil prices. NFP week could drive September Fed hike expectations and boost market volatility. The euro lacks fresh bullish catalysts, all eyes on the preliminary inflation report and the ECB Forum.

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.