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NZD/USD corrects to near 0.6350 despite subdued USD Index, US Retail Sales eyed

  • NZD/USD has dropped to near 0.6350 despite USD Index remaining choppy.
  • NZ inflation is expected to soften significantly amid aggressive interest rate policy by the RBNZ.
  • The USD Index is making efforts to deliver a solid recovery after a significant sell-off.

The NZD/USD pair has extended its correction to near 0.6350 in the early European session. The Kiwi asset has faced pressure after mixing China’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data. China’s quarterly GDP has expanded at a 0.8% pace higher than the estimates of 0.5% but extremely lower than the prior pace of 2.2%. While annualized GDP landed at 6.3%, lower than the consensus of 7.3% but higher than the former release of 4.5%.

Mixed GDP numbers have prompted the need for more loose policy from the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) as the economic recovery is not on track due to lower consumer spending and rising pain in real estate.

Apart from the GDP figures, annual Retail Sales have decelerated to 3.1% vs. the estimates of 3.2% and the former release of 12.7%. Contrary, annualized Industrial Production jumped to 4.4$ vs. the consensus of 2.7% and the prior figure of 3.5%. It is worth noting that New Zealand is one of the leading trading partners of China and bleak economic recovery in China impacts the New Zealand Dollar.

Going forward, the New Zealand Dollar would react to the second-quarter inflation data, which will release on Tuesday at 22:45 GMT. The quarterly Consumer Price Index (CPI) is seen softening to 0.9% vs. the former pace of 1.2%. Annualized CPI is expected to decelerate to 5.9% against the prior release of 6.7%.

Meanwhile, S&P500 futures have posted nominal losses in Asia, portraying a cautious market mood. The US Dollar Index (DXY) is demonstrating a non-directional performance below the psychological resistance of 100.00. The USD Index is making efforts to deliver a solid recovery after a significant sell-off. Consistently softening United States inflation and easing labor market conditions are the real triggers behind doomsday for the USD Index. The next trigger for the USD Index will be the monthly Retail Sales data for June, which will release on Tuesday.

NZD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6346
Today Daily Change-0.0023
Today Daily Change %-0.36
Today daily open0.6369
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.619
Daily SMA500.6175
Daily SMA1000.6193
Daily SMA2000.619
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6413
Previous Daily Low0.6364
Previous Weekly High0.6413
Previous Weekly Low0.6166
Previous Monthly High0.625
Previous Monthly Low0.599
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6383
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6394
Daily Pivot Point S10.6351
Daily Pivot Point S20.6333
Daily Pivot Point S30.6302
Daily Pivot Point R10.64
Daily Pivot Point R20.6431
Daily Pivot Point R30.6449

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

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