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NZD/USD breaks below the 200-DMA, hover around 0.7080 amid high US inflation

  • NZD/USD falls sharply, as US inflation numbers hit the highest level since 1990.
  • A downbeat market sentiment boosts the safe-haven currencies, like the US dollar, weighed on the risk-sensitive NZD.
  • NZD/USD: A daily close below the 200-DMA opens the path towards 0.7000 and beyond.

The NZD/USD extends its daily losses to two consecutive days, slides 0.70%, trading at 0.7081 during the New York session at the time of writing. The market sentiment is downbeat, portrayed by falling US stock indices printing losses between 0.11% and 0.18%, as US inflation figures rose above 6%, the highest reading since 1990.

Since the Asian session, the New Zealand dollar lost traction against the greenback on the expectations that higher US inflation numbers could spur a faster reaction of the Federal Reserve. Money markets increased the odds of a 25 basis points Fed rate hike by June of 2022.

US inflation reading post the most significant jump In 30 years

In the US economic docket, the Consumer Price Index for October increased by 6.2%, on an annual basis, higher than the 5.4% number in September, above the 5.3% expectations by analysts. The Core CPI, which excludes food and energy items, rose by 4.6% for the same period, also above the 4.3% foreseen by the market. Prices in energy, shelter, food, and vehicles spurred the spike in the CPI. Also, inflation is broadening beyond areas associated with a reopening.

Meanwhile, the US bond yields rise, with the 10-year benchmark note advancing seven and a half basis points, up to 1.524%, while the US Dollar following the 10-year footsteps, rising 0.62%, currently at 94.59.

NZD/USD Price forecast: Technical outlook

The NZD/USD moved to the downside since the Asian Pacific session began, retreating from the daily top at 0.7130 towards 0.7100, breaking below the 200-day moving average (DMA), usually viewed as a bearish signal. However, a daily close below the 200-DMA could open the door for further losses. The first demand area would be the 50-DMA at 0.7063, followed by the 100-DMA at 0.7023.

On the other hand, if NZD/USD buyers reclaim the 0.7100 figure, it would open the door towards a renewed test of the 0.7130 resistance level, followed by the November 4 high at 0.7178.

NZD/USD TECHNICAL SUPPORT/RESISTANCE LEVELS

Overview
Today last price0.7081
Today Daily Change-0.0050
Today Daily Change %-0.70
Today daily open0.7131
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.7133
Daily SMA500.7068
Daily SMA1000.7027
Daily SMA2000.71
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.7175
Previous Daily Low0.7109
Previous Weekly High0.7199
Previous Weekly Low0.7072
Previous Monthly High0.7219
Previous Monthly Low0.6876
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.7134
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.715
Daily Pivot Point S10.7102
Daily Pivot Point S20.7072
Daily Pivot Point S30.7036
Daily Pivot Point R10.7168
Daily Pivot Point R20.7204
Daily Pivot Point R30.7234

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

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