|

NZD/USD bears the burden of DXY strength around mid-0.7100s

  • NZD/USD teases Monday’s low amid failure to keep the bounce off 0.7153.
  • US dollar benefits from downbeat data, market frenzy and chatters over US stimulus.
  • Traders in Auckland return from long weekend without any major data/events.
  • RBA, risk news become the key for fresh impulse.

NZD/USD struggles to mark another recovery wave from 0.7150-55 area during the initial Asian session on Tuesday. The Kiwi pair began the week’s trading around the same level before rising 0.7204 and the following U-turn to revisit the mid-0.7100 area the previous day.

While traders were in Auckland were cheering a local holiday, global markets portrayed notable moves amid a battle between the retail clients and hedge funds, backed by chatters over the social media platforms. Following the stellar move by equities during the last week, this time it was silver which gained 11% due to the market frenzy.

Other than the retail rush that favored the US dollar, the downbeat performance of the European economics and mixed statistics from America, coupled with the on-going stimulus talks between US President Joe Biden and Republicans also helped the greenback. That said, the US dollar index (DXY) jumped to the highest since December 10, 2020, by the end of Monday’s Trading.

It should be noted that the recovery in the coronavirus (COVID-19) conditions, ex-Australian, coupled with a jump in the vaccinations, favor the risks even as market imperfection challenges the mood.

Against this backdrop, Wall Street benchmarks closed with positive performance while the US 10-year Treasury yields drop 2.2 basis points (bps) to 1.077% by press time.

Given the on-going stimulus talks in the White House, NZD/USD traders are likely to pay major attention to the relief package news wherein the bulls may look for a confirmation of the $1.9 trillion bundle of aid. Also important will be the monetary policy meeting of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), due to Australia’s trade ties with New Zealand. Herein, a confirmation of downbeat inflation prospects may weigh on the kiwi pair.

It’s worth mentioning that the global markets have been sensitive to social media chatters and hence any hints from the same could also move the NZD/USD pair, which in turn makes them the key to watch.

Technical analysis

Sustained trading below 21-day SMA, currently around 0.7192, directs NZD/USD towards breaking an ascending support line from December 21, 2020, at 0.7146 now, a break of which will attack 50-day SMA level of 0.7133 for further downside. Meanwhile, a one-month-old resistance line near 0.7225 adds to the upside filters.

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price0.7158
Today Daily Change-27 pips
Today Daily Change %-0.38%
Today daily open0.7185
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.7196
Daily SMA500.7115
Daily SMA1000.6904
Daily SMA2000.6675
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.7226
Previous Daily Low0.715
Previous Weekly High0.7248
Previous Weekly Low0.7105
Previous Monthly High0.7316
Previous Monthly Low0.7096
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.7179
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.7197
Daily Pivot Point S10.7148
Daily Pivot Point S20.7111
Daily Pivot Point S30.7072
Daily Pivot Point R10.7224
Daily Pivot Point R20.7263
Daily Pivot Point R30.73

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD extends the drop to 1.3360

GBP/USD builds on Monday’s decline and briefly clinches five-day lows near 1.3360 on Tuesday. Cable’s extra pullback follows the better tone in the Greenback as uncertainty in the Middle East prompts investors to adopt a cautious stance. Meanwhile, an apathetic UK labour market report also collaborates with the selling pressure on the British Pound.

EUR/USD stays offered just above 1.1400

EUR/USD keeps the downtrend well in place for yet another day, challenging the 1.1400 contention zone on Tuesday. The continuation of the selling impulse in spot comes amid decent gains in the US Dollar, which continues to find support in the persistent effervescence surrounding the US-Iran crisis.

Middle East crisis intensifies, Gold up

Gold now seems to have embarked on a consolidative phase below the key $4,100 mark per troy ounce in the latter part of Tuesday’s session. Meanwhile, uncertainty surrounding the Middle East conflict and rising expectations for a hawkish Fed policy outlook are expected to limit the precious metal’s bullish momentum in the near term.

XRP extends recovery as on-chain activity grows
Ripple (XRP) ticks up and trades around $1.13 at the time of writing on Tuesday. This rebound aligns with a broader recovery in the cryptocurrency market, attributed to reports that mediators between the United States (US) and Iran are seeking a 10-day cessation of strikes to find a way back to the signed Memorandum of Understanding (MoU).
The Iranian war has again risen
The Iranian war has again risen to the top of the economics factor list. There is no end in sight. Intelligence experts say the current level of offense/retaliation will not change minds in Tehran, while in Washington, Trump fears all-out war, which would mean boots on the ground.
US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.